Arsenal take on Tottenham in the headline fixture of matchweek 14 in the Women’s Super League.
The Gunners are 10 points behind leaders Chelsea heading into the weekend, while Tottenham sit in sixth.
All six fixtures will take place on Sunday, with second-place Manchester United hosting bottom club Crystal Palace in the opening match.
Chelsea welcome Everton to Kingsmeadow, while West Ham face Brighton and Leicester Coty host Aston Villa.
Manchester City’s clash with Liverpool rounds out this slate of fixtures.
Here, we assess what the Opta supercomputer forecasts for matchweek 14.
An exciting weekend of #BarclaysWSL football awaits pic.twitter.com/KHC368bcUP
— Barclays Women’s Super League (@BarclaysWSL) February 10, 2025
Manchester United v Crystal Palace
Sunday’s fixtures get started at Leigh Sports Village Stadium, where United are looking to claim a sixth straight league victory.
They have kept a clean sheet in four of those. Since the beginning of last season the Red Devils have seen a greater proportion of their total wins come to nil than any other ever-present side (79% – 15/19).
Marc Skinner’s team are predicted to extend their fine run of form – the Opta supercomputer ranks their chances of victory at 82.8%, while Palace’s win probability is a meagre 6.5%.
United remain unbeaten at home in the WSL this season, winning four of six games (D2), and the Red Devils could avoid defeat in their opening seven games of a top-flight campaign for the first time.
Palace have won just one of their 13 games (D3 L9), though five of their six points in the competition have come away from home, drawing 1-1 at Brighton last time out on MD13.
United’s Ella Toone is in line to make her 100th WSL start for the club – she would be the 70th player to reach that milestone of starts in the competition.
Arsenal v Tottenham
Arsenal have won all four of their WSL home games against Tottenham, keeping a clean sheet in each of the last three.
The supercomputer is backing their chances of continuing that run of form against their rivals. Arsenal’s win probability is 78.4% compared to Spurs’ 8.5%, while the threat of a draw is 13.1%.
Arsenal have won six of their last seven WSL games (L1), scoring three or more goals in five of those victories; only Chelsea (six times) have done so more often than the Gunners (five times) overall in the top flight this term.
Expect goals in this one, as none of Arsenal’s last 13 London derbies in the WSL have ended level (W7 L6), since a 0-0 draw with West Ham in February 2023, while none of Spurs’ last 11 league derbies have ended in a draw (W6 D5), since a 2-2 draw with the Hammers in May 2023.
Spurs have won just one of their 10 WSL meetings with Arsenal (D1 L8), winning 1-0 in December 2023 despite having five shots and facing 31 from the Gunners.
New signing Chloe Kelly could make her first appearance in the WSL for Arsenal since June 2017 when she scored against Bristol City; should she play this weekend, 2,815 days since that game, it would be the second-longest gap between two appearances for the same club by an outfield player in the competition after Toni Duggan for Everton (2,897 days).
Chelsea v Everton
Chelsea do not look likely to let their lead slip – indeed, they have a 99% chance of winning the title, according to Opta’s model.
The supercomputer makes them huge favourites to take the three points against Everton, with Chelsea winning 88.9% of the data-led simulations. Everton came out on top in just 3.9%.
Chelsea are unbeaten in each of their last 26 games across all competitions (W25 D1) and in the WSL era only two teams have gone longer without defeat: the Blues themselves between April 2019 and September 2020 (31 games) and Manchester City between April 2016 and April 2017 (27 games).
Everton have lost each of their last seven league away games against Chelsea, since winning 4-1 at Imperial Fields back in June 2013, while the Toffees have never beaten the reigning champions in the WSL in 20 previous attempts (D3 L17).
Chelsea are unbeaten in each of their last 15 WSL meetings with Everton (W14 D1), with 11 of their last 12 league wins against the Toffees coming to nil.
West Ham v Brighton
After a superb start to the season, Brighton have tailed off. They sit in fifth, so are still punching well above their weight, but the Seagulls are winless in five WSL matches.
Can they get back on track against West Ham? Well, Opta’s model makes the Hammers the favourites, with a 43.6% win probability.
Brighton came out victors in 29.6% of the supercomputer’s simulations, while 26.8% of those were drawn.
17 goals from open play @BHAFCWomen are only ONE goal away for equaling their tally of open-play goals scored in a single #BarclaysWSL campaign (18 in 2022/23). pic.twitter.com/mgAgqx8lUx
— Barclays Women’s Super League (@BarclaysWSL) February 13, 2025
West Ham have won three of their last four home WSL matches (L1), having only won one of their previous 19 (D8 L10).
They have, though, won just one of their last nine WSL meetings with Brighton (D1 L7), a 2-0 away victory in October 2023.
But Brighton have lost their last four away matches in the top tier, last suffering more away defeats in a row in the 2019-20 campaign (six).
Leicester City v Aston Villa
Since Leicester joined the WSL in 2021-22, the Foxes have lost the most games (53), conceded the second-most goals (165) and have the worst goal difference (-104). They have also won 18 fewer points than any other ever-present team in that time (56).
However, they are not propping up the pile, sitting three points clear ahead of Palace as it stands.
And the supercomputer is predicting a tight contest with Villa, who sit just one place higher in 10th.
A draw would not be a bad shout, here – the likelihood of it finishing all even is 26.2%, with a Villa win at 37.7% and a Leicester victory at 36.2%.
Villa have lost three of their last five WSL games (W1 D1), with each defeat coming under a different manager – they have not lost three in a row since losing their first five games of 2023-24.
Leicester have picked up seven points in their last four home league matches (W2 D1 L1), more than they managed in their previous 12 on home soil (five – W1 D2 L9). They are looking for consecutive home wins for the first time since April 2023.
Manchester City v Liverpool
The weekend’s action concludes at the Joie Stadium, with Man City aiming to return to winning ways against a Liverpool side who have recently turned a corner in the WSL.
City were on the wrong end of a seven-goal thriller against Arsenal last time out, with Stina Blackstenius’ late goal earning the Gunners a 4-3 victory, while also boosting their own hopes of a top-three finish and qualification for next season’s Women’s Champions League.
Liverpool, meanwhile, have now won two of their last three WSL matches (L1), as many as they managed in their first 10 matches this season (W2 D3 L5). Only Chelsea and Man Utd (nine) have more WSL points in 2025 than the Reds (six), and they will be looking to seal a rare win in Manchester.
The Reds have lost seven of their eight WSL away games against the Citizens with the only exception a 1-1 draw in June 2016.
The supercomputer makes City big favourites (76.4%), with Liverpool’s chances ranked at 9.6% and the probability of a draw coming in at 14.1%.
