Saturday’s doubleheader kicks off with a battle between the Houston Texans and the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs at Arrowhead. The evening ends with an enormous sport between the Washington Commanders and the Detroit Lions. All 4 groups wish to punch their tickets to the Convention Championships, however solely two will transfer on.
Right here is all the data you want concerning the video games, together with the way to watch, which channels they are going to be on, and extra.
NFL Video games Right this moment: Breaking Down the Texans vs. Chiefs
Date: Saturday, Jan. 18
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
TV Channels: ABC, ESPN
Dwell Stream: ESPN+
The place: Arrowhead Stadium
Commanders vs. Lions Channels, Dwell Streams, and Extra
Date: Saturday, January 18
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV Channel: Fox
Dwell Stream: Hulu
The place: Ford Subject
Houston Texans
Workforce: The Texans have but to win greater than three video games in a row throughout the C.J. Stroud period– they’ll have to run their win streak to 4 video games to succeed in the Tremendous Bowl.
QB: Stroud had a 27-yard rush towards the Chargers – previous to that, he didn’t have 27 speeding yards in a sport since Halloween.
Offense: The Texans wager closely on Stroud early, a part of a theme throughout the second half of their season:
Texans: Highest First-Half Dropback Charges in 2024
Saturday vs. Chargers: 78.8%
Week 16 at Chiefs: 77.1%
Week 12 vs. Titans: 73.9%
Week 15 vs. Dolphins: 73.9%
Week 17 vs. Ravens: 71%
Protection: Houston posted their second-best Protection+ grade in our database (since 2019) Their 88.7 grade was 5.6 factors higher than their finest displaying throughout the common season.
Fantasy: Joe Mixon has recorded a number of purple zone touches in 13 straight video games.
Betting: The Texans opened the season 0-4 ATS – they’re 8-5-1 since with covers towards the Invoice and Lions as part of that.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Workforce: Kansas Metropolis had a first-round bye on their solution to a title in 2022 and there have been no indicators of rust – they scored in every of their first three possessions and allowed simply 5.1 yards per play within the first half within the divisional spherical.
QB: Patrick Mahomes posted an 84.8 grade in our QB+ metric this season, tenth finest within the NFL (beneath his profession norm, however forward of his 81.5 from a season in the past).
Offense: Kansas Metropolis settled for a discipline objective on simply 13.4% of their drives in 2022 – their charge was 18.4% in 2023 and 18.9% this yr.
Protection: In Weeks 15-17, understanding that this crew rested most of their playmakers in Week 18, the Chiefs allowed a landing on simply two of seven opponent purple zone drives.
Fantasy: DeAndre Hopkins has topped out at a 63.1% snap share with Kansas Metropolis and now has to navigate a wholesome Hollywood Brown who has been focused on 44.1% of his routes in two video games again.
Washington Commanders
Workforce: For the reason that begin of 2022, the Lions have a 73.8% win proportion towards groups with out a true weapon of a runner underneath middle and a 54.5% mark when dealing with such an asset – Jayden Daniels definitely falls into that second bucket of QB.
QB: On Sunday evening, Daniels accomplished 58.3% of his pressured passes with two scores and 0 interceptions (common season: 46.4% full with 1.6 touchdowns-per-interception).
Offense: The Commanders scored on 62.5% of their drives within the Wild Card Spherical and are close to unstoppable when having success even near that stage (13-2 when scoring on over one-third of their offensive possessions).
Protection: Washington posted a 66.7 Def+ grade on Sunday evening, their fourth-worst effort of the season. That mentioned, two of these 4 situations have come towards the Buccaneers, making that probably a tricky matchup greater than one thing to worry transferring into the Divisional Spherical.
Fantasy: Should you extrapolate Terry McLaurin’s final seven video games for a 17-game season:
100 receptions (143 targets)
1,127 yards
19 touchdowns
329.1 PPR fantasy factors
Justin Jefferson was WR2 in whole PPR factors this season with 317.5.
Detroit Lions
Workforce: The Lions scored 41 factors towards the Chargers final season coming off their bye. They hung 47 on the Cowboys this season and are actually coming off one other bye week.
QB: Jared Goff completed the season with a 93.2 grade in our QB+ metric, the eleventh finest mark in our six years of monitoring (second finest this season, trailing Lamar Jackson).
Offense: The Lions ranked third in fourth down conversions throughout the common season (22) and tied for seven in fourth down conversion charge (66.7%).
Protection: Detroit’s offense will get the eye, however their protection, for the season, ranked seventh in turnover charge and purple zone effectivity.
Fantasy: The perfect video games over PPR fantasy expectation throughout the second half of the season, minimal 20 touches:
The place Do the Remaining Groups Rank?
The NFL playoffs are underway, with eight groups nonetheless standing after Wild Card Weekend. The place does every crew stand in our NFL Playoff Energy Rankings?
To restrict subjectivity from our energy rankings, we’ve devised our PR+ metric, which mixes our inner Offense+ and Protection+ metrics, our particular groups rating, and a stage of correction for the groups’ energy of schedule and win-loss file amongst different issues. We additionally take accidents and different components surrounding groups into consideration.
Let’s study which groups have the very best shot at advancing to Tremendous Bowl LIX in New Orleans.
1) Detroit Lions2) Baltimore Ravens3) Buffalo Bills4) Philadelphia Eagles5) Kansas Metropolis Chiefs6) Los Angeles Rams7) Washington Commanders8) Houston Texans
