UFC Vegas 92: Greatest betting props, parlays and picks | Barboza vs. Murphy

UFC Vegas 92 is on faucet for this Saturday (Could 18, 2024) on the UFC APEX facility in Enterprise, Nevada. The principle occasion options Brazilian sniper Edson Barboza lacing it up for his thirty sixth professional struggle. His opponent contained in the APEX’s small cage is undefeated British prospect Lerone Murphy. The rest of the cardboard resembles very a lot what you’d anticipate the UFC to counter-program an undisputed heavyweight boxing occasion with. The co-main sees Khaos Williams and Carlston Harris throw down within the Welterweight division. There’s additionally the Rock’s favorite fighter Themba Gorimbo assembly Ramiz Brahimaj, additionally at Welterweight.

The “Prelims” are headlined by the considerably hyped Gentle Heavyweight Oumar Sy. He has a brief discover substitute fighter within the type of Tuco Tokkos to deal with. Additionally on the “Prelims” is Abus Magomedov vs. Warlley Alves and Emily Ducote vs. Vanessa Demopoulos.

As at all times, there’s tons to guess on this card, and we’ve bought odds for the fights under.

UFC Vegas 92 Most important Card Cash Line Odds

Edson Barboza (+120) vs. Lerone Murphy (-142)

Edson Barboza is the most recent fighter in his late 30s to occupy a most important card slot for the UFC. And he’ll be hoping to do what fellow veterans (Alexandre Pantoja, Jose Aldo, Anthony Smith and Derrick Lewis) have performed currently and ship a younger(er) challenger residence with a bruised document, ego and face. Barboza’s opponent isn’t any spring hen. Lerone Murphy is 32, however he’s solely bought 14 fights to his identify. Murphy is undefeated in his profession, although he’s by no means confronted anybody who has the sort of respect on their identify that Barboza has.

Murphy’s UFC wins are choices in opposition to Josh Culibao, Gabriel Santos and Douglas Silva de Andrade. He has two stoppages within the Octagon, a knee versus Makwan Amirkhani in 2021 (test it out right here) and a few floor and pound on Ricardo Ramos in 2020. His UFC debut was a draw reverse Khabib’s mate Zubaira Tukhugov.

Barboza’s fought everybody at Light-weight and honest variety of first rate Featherweights, too. He’s on a two struggle successful streak at present with wins over Sodiq Yusuff and Billy Quarantillo. He misplaced to Bryce Mitchell earlier than that and was stopped by Giga Chikadze in 2021 (see that right here). Chikadze is one among solely 4 males to cease Barboza. The others are Justin Gaethje, Kevin Lee (on account of a minimize), prime Tony Ferguson and Jamie Varner (again at midnight ages).

Given Barboza’s accomplishments (each historic and up to date) I’m slightly shocked to see him because the underdog right here. I anticipate his odds will come down all through the week as extra people who bear in mind him ending Terry Etim soar on the likelihood of plus cash on one among their favourite fighters.

Barboza deserves greater than sentimental cash, although. He’s additionally bought top and attain on Murphy. He lands extra vital strikes than Murphy does, although he does take in extra, too (which can be due to his energy of schedule over the previous decade). Barboza additionally has unbelievable takedown protection and BJJ expertise that he not often will get to point out off.

Murphy is well-rounded and defensively strong on the toes. He’s additionally sooner and extra athletic than Barboza. Nonetheless, we’ve by no means seen how he reacts to a most important occasion reserving. I’d relatively take the longish odds on a vet who has been right here earlier than and isn’t precisely going through an excellent prospect in his division.

Khaos Williams (-130) vs. Carlston Harris (+110)

Khaos Williams and Carlston Harris each appeared like guys who may have been any individual after their first few fights in UFC. Nonetheless, each got powerful match-ups and misplaced to guys who proper now are somebodies in UFC’s Welterweight division. Williams’ narrative shifting loss was a choice to Michel Pereira (see what went down right here). Whereas Harris misplaced to Shavkat Rakhmonov by spinning hook kick (test it out).

Each Williams and Harris are heavy handed. Williams has a lot greater output than Harris, although — touchdown virtually twice the quantity of serious strikes per minute than Harris does.

Harris could not have as a lot violence or exercise in his locker, however he makes up for it with a extra well-rounded recreation which incorporates takedowns and submission menace (he took out Jeremiah Wells with an Anaconda Choke final trip).

Nonetheless, he may need a tough time getting Williams down to point out us any of that menace. Williams has glorious takedown protection (80%).

I like Williams because the favorite right here and see him successful the exchanges with Harris, whereas additionally with the ability to keep away from being dragged all the way down to the place he’s much less comfy.

Themba Gorimbo (-142) vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (+120)

Themba Gorimbo, who was famously gifted a home by Dwayne Johnson, is the favourite in his match with Ramiz Brahimaj. Brahimaj is coming off of a two-year layoff on account of a spinal damage. The MMA Gods may just like the fairy-tale facet of Brahimaj coming back from such a devastating damage to say an underdog victory (seemingly by way of his harmful submission recreation). Nonetheless, a realist mustn’t look previous Gorimbo’s measurement, athleticism, hanging and wrestling benefits within the match-up.

Gorimbo has a 5 inch attain benefit over Brahimaj and he ought to have the ability to maintain his opponent at vary and stop this struggle from going someplace he may be submitted.

I believe Gorimbo will have the ability to win with both an enormous KO (like this) or a judges’ resolution by way of a tepid kickboxing match, maybe with takedowns punctuating the tip of every spherical. I’d decide these choices if Brahimaj had been energetic currently, however given Brahimaj’s time away I’m much more assured in Gorimbo.

Adrian Yanez (-380) vs. Vinicius Salvador (+300)

This appears like a loser leaves city match with each Adrian Yanez and Vinicius Salvador coming off two losses. The huge disparity in odds may be as a result of Yanez misplaced his final two by way of TKO (leg kicks vs. Jonathan Martinez and a floor and pound to Rob Font). Salvador’s losses have been choices, to the far much less heralded CJ Vergara and Victor Altamirano.

I wouldn’t contact this bout. It may very well be Battle of the Evening with each males capable of land, and harm the opposite, on command. If you happen to wish to reside dangerously, you may put one thing on Yanez to land the KO blow earlier than Salvador does.

Luana Pinheiro (+120) vs. Angela Hill (-142)

Angela Hill has been inconsistent as of late, going 3-3 in her final six. Although she is coming off a unanimous resolution win over Denise Gomes on enemy territory. Say what you need about her document (11-13 within the UFC), you possibly can’t deny that Hill has fought a number of the greatest fighters accessible to her. Her three most up-to-date losses are in opposition to Mackenzie Dern, Virna Jandiroba and Amanda Lemos. The wins sprinkled in there embody victories over Emily Ducote and Lupita Godinez.

Luana Pinheiro has had a bizarre run within the UFC, successful by way of an unlawful upkick DQ in her debut (see that right here). She’s additionally dropped a break up resolution to Michelle Waterson and was spin kick KO’d by Amanda Ribas (watch that right here).

Pinheiro might be seeking to take Hill down within the struggle, however she may battle to take action. She was 0-5 in takedowns in opposition to Waterson. Waterson’s takedown protection is 70%. Hill’s is 75% (and he or she was capable of stuff all however one among Godinez’s takedown makes an attempt on her final 12 months).

So I’m anticipating Hill to struggle her struggle right here and get one among her trademark unanimous resolution victories.

UFC Vegas 92 ‘Prelims’ Below Card Odds

Victor Martinez (+360) vs. Tom Nolan (-470)

Tom Nolan is the largest favourite on the cardboard, regardless of getting TKO’d in his UFC correct debut in January (see that right here). That loss got here after a formidable Contender Collection end for the Aussie. Victor Martinez has the same story. He gained a unanimous resolution on the Contender Collection in 2021 after which misplaced his first correct UFC struggle by way of TKO (in opposition to Jordan Leavitt in 2023). The knock on Martinez right here is that he’s been out for over a 12 months and solely fought twice since 2019.

Tamires Vidal (+270) vs. Melissa Gatto (-340)

Tamires Vidal was imagined to struggle Hailey Cowan right here. Melissa Gatto got here in on quick discover, transferring as much as bantamweight for this struggle. Regardless of coming in late, and out of doors of her traditional weight class, Gatto is the heavy favourite. Each ladies are coming off losses and each ladies’s final UFC wins have been TKOs over opponents who aren’t with the corporate anymore.

Oumar Sy vs. Tuco Tokkos

Right now of writing there have been no odds launched for this match-up. Sy will definitely be a heavy favourite versus his quick discover substitute, although.

Abus Magomedov (-285) vs. Warlley Alves (+230)

Right here’s one other bout between two fighters in determined searches of a win. Each Abus Magomedov and Warlley Alves are greatest remembered for his or her previous opponents. Magomedov had an sudden most important occasion slot final 12 months in opposition to Sean Strickland, which he misplaced and resulted in a title shot for Strickland. Followers of a sure age will bear in mind Alves stopping pre-gimmick Colby Covington with a guillotine choke on the UFC 194 undercard in 2015.

Magomedov can have an excellent measurement/attain benefit over Alves right here, who’s on a 3 struggle dropping skid. I fancy his possibilities to get a end over Alves, who has been TKO’d twice within the final two years and was submitted by Randy Brown in 2019.

Piera Rodriguez (-218) vs. Ariane Carnelossi (+180)

Piera Rodriguez is a snug favorite right here. The one blemish on her professional profession is an armbar loss to Gillian Robertson. Ariane Carnelossi has been extra up and down, with losses to Angela Hill and Lupita Godinez book-ending wins over Istela Nunes and Na Liang. She does have a physique kick KO win over Ketlen Souza from her days on the Brazilian regional circuit, although. Carnelossi’s 8% takedown protection means she’s going to most likely spend a variety of this struggle on the bottom.

Alatengheili (+130) vs. Kleydson Rodrigues (-155)

Workforce Nogueira’s Kleydson Rodrigues was choked out by Farid Basharat final 12 months. His final two UFC bookings have seen him miss weight, first in a win over Shannon Ross after which in a bout in opposition to Tatsuro Taira that was cancelled. The Mongolian Knight is coming off a loss to Chris Gutierrez. Nonetheless, he’s a 4 time winner in opposition to UFC competitors.

Vanessa Demopoulos (+270) vs. Emily Ducote (-340)

Former Invicta champ Emily Ducote is 2-2 in UFC with wins over Ashley Yoder and Jessica Penne. The underdog Vanessa Demopoulos beat former Invicta champ Kanako Murata final trip. She additionally has a win over former Invicta champ Jinh Yu Frey underneath her belt. Ducote is an honest favourite right here seemingly on account of her exercise and strain.

UFC Vegas 92 Prop Bets And Parlays

Right here’s a few issues that look fascinating for this Saturday’s UFC Vegas 92 card …

Two-fight parlay Angela Hill to beat Luana Pinheiro and Abus Magomedov to beat Warrley Alves (+130)

I actually like Angela Hill on this struggle. I don’t suppose Luana Pinheiro has the instruments to beat Hill in a kickboxing match and I believe Hill’s expertise and takedown defence will stop this struggle from being something apart from a kickboxing match. I imagine Abus Magomedov has suffered from tough match-making to this point, having fought Sean Strickland and Caio Borralho in two of his first three UFC contests. Warrley Alves appears like a little bit of a gimme for him right here. I believe Magomedov will have the ability to harass Alves from vary and may have the ability to submit him late on within the struggle.

Piera Rodriguez to beat Ariane Carnelossi by way of resolution (+100)

Piera Rodriguez might be taking Ariane Carnelossi down at will. Nonetheless, I don’t she’s going to have the ability to parlay these takedowns right into a struggle ending sequence. Similar to with Sam Hughes and Kay Hansen, I believe the takedowns will rating her numerous factors with the judges. And we’ll see that when the scores are learn on the finish of this one.

Themba Gorimbo to beat Ramiz Brahimaj by way of KO/TKO/DQ (+275)

I like Themba Gorimbo’s vary and I believe we may see a repeat of his win over Pete Rodriguez. Brahimaj has by no means been legitimately stopped in his profession, however I fear about his lengthy damage lay-off and what number of hits he’s absorbed throughout UFC competitors (4.08 vital strikes per minute).

Victor Martinez vs. Tom Nolan to complete in lower than a minute (+500)

This can be a bizarre struggle so it may need a bizarre end. Tom Nolan gained within the Contender Collection at 1:23 after which misplaced to Nikolas Motta at 1:03. Martinez is eight years older than Nolan. Martinez has fought twice since 2019. Nolan’s complete professional profession (eight fights) has taken place over that point. Nolan might be larger, longer, sooner and extra athletic after they meet and I believe he’ll be an excessive amount of for Martinez and there’s a shot this factor is over quick.

UFC Vegas 92 Ballot Time

Which of the sooner props and parlays do you just like the look of essentially the most?

What else are you liking for this occasion? Hit us up within the feedback under.

Do not forget that MMAmania.com will ship LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow protection of all the UFC Vegas 92 struggle card proper right here, beginning with the ESPN/ESPN+ “Prelims” matches on-line, that are scheduled to start at 4 p.m. ET, earlier than the primary card begin time at 7 p.m. ET (additionally on ESPN/ESPN+).

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