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U.S. Open 2024: The large questions for the third spherical

June 15, 2024
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Mark Schlabach

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Mark Schlabach

ESPN Senior Author

Senior faculty soccer author
Writer of seven books on faculty soccer
Graduate of the College of Georgia

Paolo Uggetti

Jun 14, 2024, 10:19 PM ET

PINEHURST, N.C. — Fifteen-time main champion Tiger Woods will not be round for the weekend on the 124th U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2 — and world No. 1 golfer Scottie Scheffler barely made it.

Sweden’s Ludvig Åberg survived the quick and agency situations and stifling warmth to take the lead at 5 underneath, which is 1 stroke higher than LIV Golf League captain Bryson DeChambeau, Belgium’s Thomas Detry and Patrick Cantlay heading into the ultimate 36 holes.

4-time main champion Rory McIlroy — making an attempt to finish a virtually 10-year drought with out profitable one — is barely 2 strokes behind, together with Tony Finau and France’s Matthieu Pavon.

Woods, a three-time U.S. Open winner, missed the reduce for the fourth time in his previous 5 begins within the occasion. Scheffler seemed like he could be headed residence early, too, till the reduce moved from 4 over to five over to maintain him round.

This is what to look at within the remaining 36 holes at Pinehurst No. 2:

Who do you belief probably the most heading into the weekend?

Mark Schlabach: I might simply go together with McIlroy or Åberg, who’re most likely probably the most proficient gamers among the many leaders, or DeChambeau, who’s brimming with confidence in his gear and recreation.

However I’ll go together with Hideki Matsuyama, who’s trying to win his second main championship after he captured his first on the 2021 Masters. He received in opposition to an elite subject on the Genesis Invitational in February and is greater than able to doing it once more.

Matsuyama has the most effective quick video games on the earth — he got here into the week ranked first on tour in strokes gained: across the inexperienced (.761) and sixth in scrambling (68.4%).

If situations are going to get tougher, and Pinehurst No. 2 goes to get browner and firmer on the weekend, I will belief the man who is aware of easy methods to rise up and down from nearly wherever. Whereas Matsuyama’s placing has been inconsistent prior to now, he picked up greater than 3 strokes on the sphere in that statistic within the second spherical.

DeChambeau had a really balanced week with sturdy showings in his quick recreation and is in prime place to win the 2024 U.S. Open. (Photograph by David Cannon/Getty Photos)

Paolo Uggetti: How about the latest winner of a U.S. Open? It hasn’t been that lengthy since DeChambeau proved to be the most effective golfer in a 156-man subject. To this point this week, on a golf course that most individuals would not have thought match the smashmouth DeChambeau, he has performed it to perfection.

DeChambeau has been affected person and restricted his errors. He hasn’t been overly aggressive, and but he has nonetheless used his size to his benefit. Even when he has carded bogeys, he has been in a position to bounce again with birdies rapidly.

And when the second has known as for one thing aside from regular golf, DeChambeau has responded. On each of his remaining holes Thursday and Friday, DeChambeau punctuated his rounds with a birdie — a chip-in on the 18th within the first spherical and a dart on the ninth gap for a birdie within the second spherical.

For all of his well-known repute as a bomber, DeChambeau has had a really balanced week with sturdy showings in his quick recreation (plus-0.88 strokes gained on the sphere) and his placing, which he known as a energy earlier this week (plus 1.02 strokes gained). All of it provides as much as a really sustainable formulation that ought to stand up to regardless of the weekend brings.

Who must win the U.S. Open probably the most?

Schlabach: It needs to be McIlroy, who has received all world wide over the previous 10 years however hasn’t captured a significant championship in that point span. His final win within the large 4 got here on the PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Membership in Louisville, Kentucky, on Aug. 10, 2014. If he lifts a trophy on Sunday, it will finish his 3,598-day drought of not profitable one.

McIlroy did what he needed to do within the first two rounds — he did not blow up, stayed shut and is true there in competition once more. He grabbed the co-lead at 5-under 65 within the first spherical, then took a small step again with a 2-over 72 within the second. He’ll begin the third spherical 2 photographs behind Åberg.

If McIlroy lifts the trophy on Sunday, it will finish his 3,598-day drought of not profitable one. (Photograph by Andrew Redington/Getty Photos)

McIlroy’s putter should get scorching once more. Within the second spherical, he led the sphere in strokes gained: off the tee (2.20), however misplaced almost 2½ strokes on the greens. That has to vary.

Since his final main championship win at Valhalla, McIlroy has completed within the high 10 of a significant 20 occasions, probably the most of any participant throughout that span. It is past time for him to get it accomplished and win his fifth main.

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Uggetti: After watching his good friend Xander Schauffele lastly attain the mountaintop in a significant finally month’s PGA Championship, Cantlay is now the most effective gamers on the earth with out that elusive main title.

On paper, Cantlay’s profession is as stellar as it may be with no main: eight profession wins, a FedEx Cup title and over $45 million in profession earnings. However there is a particular void in his résumé the place a significant ought to theoretically be. Cantlay has repeatedly pale at main championships and has by no means completed higher than tied for 14th at a U.S. Open.

Popping out on high at this U.S. Open wouldn’t solely give him that main, however it will even be an particularly satisfying one at a course that doesn’t resemble the sorts of setups that Cantlay normally thrives in. Pinehurst No. 2 hasn’t been a birdiefest. As an alternative, it has been a grind, and may Cantlay be capable of survive the gauntlet he can have deserved each little bit of that trophy.

Can Scheffler get again into competition?

Schlabach: Even a John Deere does not begin each every now and then. We have develop into so accustomed to Scheffler enjoying almost flawlessly each week that it is beautiful when he isn’t within the combine. Scheffler, who had received in 5 of his previous eight begins, together with his second victory on the Masters, seemed out of kinds within the first two rounds. The world No. 1 golfer seemed pissed off on the tee packing containers and the greens.

Scheffler simply made the 2024 U.S. Open reduce, shedding 3.30 strokes to the sphere on the greens within the second spherical. (Photograph by Gregory Shamus/Getty Photos)

Scheffler was erratic on the tee within the first 36 holes, discovering 17 of 28 fairways. He hit 66.7% of greens and ranks ninth in strokes gained: method (1.89) by way of two rounds. However his placing has once more been a legal responsibility — he misplaced 3.30 strokes to the sphere on the greens within the second spherical — and his quick recreation hasn’t been nice, both. He threw his putter within the air after lacking a putt on Friday.

After posting a 4-over 74 on Friday, Scheffler made the reduce on the quantity and can begin the third spherical 10 strokes behind Åberg. That is too far again. Like we noticed him do on the PGA Championship, possibly Scheffler can sneak into the highest 15 or higher.

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Uggetti: I do not see it. Far be it from me to doubt the No. 1 participant on the earth, however Scheffler admitted it himself after Friday’s spherical of 74: He did not notably put together in addition to he might have for this main and properly, he is drained. He simply had a child, in any case, and received yet one more PGA Tour occasion.

“It positively was a little bit of a fatigue facet,” Scheffler stated. “Taking part in poor golf just isn’t enjoyable, however I just like the difficult facet of it … The unpredictability of the native areas possibly acquired to me a little bit bit.”

There isn’t any doubt in my thoughts that Scheffler will make a run at a top-10 end, if not higher. However to see him climb again into true competition whereas being 10 photographs again firstly of the weekend feels only a bit far-fetched. Even for him.

Who was the most important disappointment within the first two rounds?

Schlabach: It appeared that Justin Thomas had turned the nook with a tie for eighth on the PGA Championship, however maybe that was extra the product of him enjoying on a well-recognized course in his native Louisville. After lacking the reduce on the Masters in April, JT missed the reduce at Pinehurst No. 2 — he was 11 over after 36 holes.

It was the fifth time in his previous seven begins in majors that Thomas missed the reduce. Thomas was thought-about a sleeper by some on the U.S. Open due to his magical fingers across the greens. However he could not hit the greens — he was one hundred and fifty fifth in strokes gained: method (-2.77) — and continued to wrestle to make putts. He was 137th in strokes gained: placing (-1.32) and wanted 57 putts in two rounds.

Thomas has now missed the reduce in 5 of his previous seven begins in majors. (Photograph by Ross Kinnaird/Getty Photos)

Uggetti: I assume we should always have anticipated it, however after seeing Viktor Hovland almost win the PGA Championship at Valhalla, I anticipated him to make a severe transfer to contend at this yr’s U.S. Open. Hovland is again together with his swing coach, Joe Mayo, who was on the grounds this week, and appeared to have figured one thing out together with his swing that introduced his recreation again to life.

Thursday’s opening spherical of 78, nevertheless, proved in any other case. Hovland shot 2 underneath on Friday, however it stays unclear if his recreation is really again in form to compete at majors or whether or not he and Mayo want to return to the drafting board or just proceed to tweak and modify no matter must be mounted. Of word: Hovland misplaced almost 2 strokes to the sphere together with his quick recreation this week, part of his recreation that appeared to have improved.

It wasn’t too way back that Hovland was thought-about the most effective gamers on the earth after profitable the Tour Championship. Now, after his previous two main performances, Hovland is probably going someplace within the center — not as dangerous as he confirmed Thursday, however maybe not so good as he seemed on the PGA.

Hovland has loads of expertise; the query is whether or not he’ll be capable of harness it into outcomes befitting of it. Pinehurst may need been a step again, however it might have additionally been a vital setback to make higher strides sooner or later.

Can anybody over par make a transfer?

Schlabach: Reigning Open Championship winner Brian Harman had an attention-grabbing second spherical. After beginning on the again 9, he was 5 over after carding a double bogey on No. 12 and back-to-back bogeys on Nos. 14 and 15. However then he picked up birdies on Nos. 18, 1 and 5 to get again to 2 over after 36 holes.

Harman’s iron play hasn’t been nice this season, however he is good across the greens, and his putter can get scorching.

Harman enters the weekend on the 2024 U.S. Open with a rating of two over. (Photograph by David Cannon/Getty Photos)

Uggetti: I am throwing all warning to the wind and choosing Sergio Garcia right here. Has he been in type as of late, even on LIV? No. Has he contended in a significant championship not too long ago? Additionally no — he has 10 missed cuts in majors the previous 5 years.

But, regardless of all of that, Garcia has gone the additional mile and refused to be too proud to compete in native qualifying with a view to proceed to make appearances on the U.S. Open. Garcia has now gone by way of U.S. Open qualifying two years in a row and made it. And this yr, he has taken that momentum and put himself at 1 underneath par and 4 photographs behind the chief heading into the weekend.

Whether or not Garcia can maintain it feels much less vital than the truth that he is nonetheless making an attempt to play properly in these occasions, which is greater than could be stated for a few of his fellow LIV members. What’s extra: Garcia began his week in Pinehurst by going 20 holes with no bogey. The final time he did that? The 2017 Masters, which he received.



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