NFL Week 6 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, fantasy ideas

NFL Nation, ESPNOct 11, 2024, 06:25 AM ET

The Week 6 NFL schedule for the 2024 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have got you coated with what that you must know heading into the weekend.

Our NFL Nation reporters carry us the most important keys to each recreation, and analytics author Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for every matchup. The ESPN Analysis group supplies a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, whereas our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a recreation projection. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody finds fantasy soccer X elements, and three analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us closing rating picks for each recreation. The whole lot you need to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the total Week 6 slate, together with Patriots quarterback Drake Maye making his NFL beginning debut in opposition to the Texans and the Lions visiting the Cowboys. All of it culminates with a “Monday Evening Soccer” matchup between the Payments and the Jets on ESPN. (Recreation occasions are Sunday except in any other case famous.)

Thursday: SF 36, SEA 24Byes: KC, LAR, MIA, MIN

9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | ESPN BET: CHI -1.5 (44.5 O/U)

Jaguars storyline to look at: This would be the first of the Jaguars’ back-to-back video games in London (Jacksonville performs New England on Oct. 20 at Wembley Stadium). The Jaguars have gained three of their previous 4 video games abroad and swept their back-to-back video games in London final season (Atlanta and Buffalo). The expertise of enjoying yearly within the UK might definitely be a bonus, particularly in opposition to a group with a rookie QB in Caleb Williams. “Simply having the expertise of going over there, you sort of know the best way to deal with it, you understand what to anticipate, you know the way you are going to really feel,” QB Trevor Lawrence stated. — Mike Dirocco

Bears storyline to look at: For a group that has traditionally been constructed on protection and a ground-and-pound dashing assault, it is laborious to consider Chicago tied its longest streak over the previous 30 years when the Bears rushed for a number of touchdowns in two straight video games in opposition to the Rams and Panthers. Their final streak of three straight a number of dashing landing video games was in 1990, and the best way D’Andre Swift has been enjoying could lead on Chicago so as to add one other in opposition to the Jaguars. Swift has notched over 100 scrimmage yards in back-to-back weeks, which is tied for the longest streak of his profession. — Courtney Cronin

Stat to know: The Jaguars are 1-12 versus NFC North opponents relationship to 2012. Their solely win was over the Bears in October 2016.

Daring prediction: Lawrence will file an under-40 QBR. The Bears’ go protection has been wonderful as Chicago ranks first in EPA per dropback and second in go rush win price. — Walder

Accidents: Jaguars | Bears

Fantasy X issue: Bears WR DJ Moore. Williams had his finest recreation of the season final week. Moore benefited with eight targets and a season-high 27.5 fantasy factors. Jacksonville’s protection offers up essentially the most fantasy factors per recreation to broad receivers, so Moore might be in for one more massive day. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: That is the primary time the Bears have been favored in a recreation outdoors of Chicago since 2021 (-2.5 at Lions in Week 12). Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Bears 24, Jags 21Moody’s decide: Bears 27, Jaguars 24Walder’s decide: Bears 24, Jaguars 17FPI prediction: CHI, 59.0% (by a mean of three.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Three areas the place the Jaguars improved in Week 5 … Bears QB Williams taking management

Why Fulghum expects a giant recreation from DJ Moore

Tyler Fulghum explains why he is taking DJ Moore to have 60+ receiving yards within the Bears’ Week 6 matchup vs. the Jaguars.

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: GB -4.5 (47.5 O/U)

Cardinals storyline to look at: Kyler Murray leads all quarterbacks in yards per rush with a mean of 10.7 — no different quarterback is averaging greater than 7.3. For Arizona to enter Lambeau Area and depart with a win, Murray’s legs should be an element — not the issue, however an element — in opposition to a Packers protection that is giving up 4.4 yards per carry, which is sixteenth within the league. — Josh Weinfuss

Packers storyline to look at: QB Jordan Love has already thrown 5 interceptions, tied for fourth most within the league, regardless of enjoying in solely three video games. He began this manner final season, too, with 10 interceptions in his first 9 video games earlier than throwing only one within the closing eight video games. The Cardinals’ protection is tied for eighth in interceptions this season with 4. — Rob Demovsky

Stat to know: Murray is finishing 65.4% when pressured, which is second within the NFL behind Jayden Daniels (67.9%).

Daring prediction: Packers WR Dontayvion Wicks will file five-plus receptions. Wicks has a 15 catch rating, which is simply horrible. However I do not assume he’ll play anyplace close to that degree going ahead — he had a 64 catch rating final yr. In different phrases, he is getting open however he simply must carry the ball in to get these reception totals up. And I feel he’ll Sunday. — Walder

Accidents: Cardinals | Packers

Fantasy X issue: Packers RB Josh Jacobs. The Cardinals’ secondary has been surprisingly robust, however that is nonetheless a fantastic spot for Jacobs. He is coming off his finest efficiency of the yr — 16.4 fantasy factors in opposition to the Rams. The Cardinals’ protection permits the eighth-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs, and Jacobs has averaged 19.6 touches per recreation. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Packers are 3-0 outright and ATS in opposition to groups with dropping information. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Packers 30, Cardinals 28Moody’s decide: Packers 34, Cardinals 27Walder’s decide: Packers 29, Cardinals 23FPI prediction: GB, 61.7% (by a mean of 4.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cardinals RG Hernandez (knee) completed for season … Packers TE Kraft places DBs on discover

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: TEN -2.5 (43.5 O/U)

Colts storyline to look at: It is a matchup that includes the stingiest and most porous defenses within the NFL, in line with yards per recreation. The Titans have allowed a league-low 243.8 yards per recreation behind a revamped unit. The Colts, in the meantime, are yielding a league-high 419.2 yards and are coming off a loss by which they gave up a season-high 37 factors to the Jaguars. Indianapolis is hoping to make some strides this week with the potential returns of DE Kwity Paye (quad) and CB Kenny Moore II (hip), however former Professional Bowl DT DeForest Buckner (ankle) stays on injured reserve. His absence continues to be felt. — Stephen Holder

Titans storyline to look at: The Titans’ offensive line has proved to be considerably higher at run blocking than go safety. Search for the Titans to work the dashing assault in opposition to a Colts run protection that’s permitting 157 yards per recreation. That would be the case no matter whether or not QB Will Levis is ready to play by way of a proper shoulder harm. Titans LG Peter Skoronski is not taking the matchup calmly, “It isn’t like they’re getting gashed in lots of methods, it is nonetheless an enormous problem. These guys are actually bodily and quick.” — Turron Davenport

Stat to know: The Titans have gained eight straight video games following their bye, which is the second-longest energetic streak within the NFL.

Editor’s Picks

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Daring prediction: Colts WR Adonai Mitchell can have 60-plus receiving yards. There is a massive recreation coming for him, it is only a matter of when. The rookie wideout has a 71 open rating and with Michael Pittman Jr.(again) and Josh Downs (toe) banged up, this might be the week. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Titans

Fantasy X issue: Titans RB Tony Pollard. Pollard is likely one of the few Titans you’ll be able to confidently begin. He has been excellent, scoring 15 or extra fantasy factors in three of his 4 video games. Pollard has seen 19 or extra touches in three of these video games. Popping out of the Titans’ Week 5 bye, he has a fantastic matchup in opposition to a Colts protection that permits the fourth-most dashing yards and fifth-most receiving yards to operating backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Colts are 4-1 ATS this season with three straight covers. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Colts 24, Titans 21Moody’s decide: Colts 33, Titans 30Walder’s decide: Titans 20, Colts 17FPI prediction: IND, 52.5% (by a mean of 0.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Three issues the Titans want from QB Levis … Colts want WR Pierce extra concerned … Titans DT Simmons again from ligament harm

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: HOU -6.5 (38.5 O/U)

Texans storyline to look at: This would be the second time the Texans face a rookie quarterback this season. Houston beat the Bears and QB Caleb Williams in Week 2; he completed 23-of-37 passing for 174 yards with two interceptions and was sacked seven occasions. Coach DeMeco Ryans stated, “We’ll play our protection. It will not change,” in regard to game-planning for Drake Maye, who acquired the nod this week. — DJ Bien-Aime

Patriots storyline to look at: Maye, the No. 3 decide, is about to make his first profession begin. Texans QB C.J. Stroud complimented Maye this week citing his versatility and accuracy. The Patriots have a 7-0 all-time file in opposition to the Texans at Gillette Stadium (5-0 common season, 2-0 postseason). — Mike Reiss

Stat to know: The Texans are 0-7 all time on the street versus the Patriots, together with the playoffs, which is their second-most losses with no street win in opposition to a single opponent. They’re 0-8 in opposition to the Ravens.

Daring prediction: Maye will rush for a landing. Maye ran for 574 yards (sacks excluded) final season at UNC, and he may discover it is a extra dependable piece of his recreation to translate straight away. Houston will in all probability nonetheless win massive, however no less than it is going to be good for Maye’s fantasy managers. — Walder

Accidents: Texans | Patriots

Fantasy X issue: Texans WR Tank Dell. Dell ought to see extra motion with Nico Collins (hamstring) on injured reserve. Dell has had a sluggish begin this season, with just one recreation of 10 or extra fantasy factors. However final season, he posted 4 video games of 20 or extra fantasy factors earlier than a damaged fibula lower his rookie season brief after 11 video games. Dell must be busy in opposition to the Patriots. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Underdogs of no less than six factors are 15-2 ATS this season (10-7 outright). Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Texans 33, Patriots 14Moody’s decide: Texans 27, Patriots 13Walder’s decide: Texans 26, Patriots 10FPI prediction: HOU, 70.1% (by a mean of seven.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How can QB Maye assist Patriots? … How Texans navigate lack of WR Collins

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: TB -3.5 (41.5 O/U)

Buccaneers storyline to look at: After a heartbreaking time beyond regulation loss to the Falcons, the Bucs are attempting to keep away from an 0-2 divisional begin. In line with ESPN Analysis, solely 5 groups that began their seasons 0-2 within the divisions have gained them for the reason that present format was put in in 2002. And within the larger scheme of issues, they have a neighborhood reeling from not solely Hurricane Helene however now Hurricane Milton, and as broad receiver Mike Evans stated, “We’re not even simply enjoying for simply soccer now. We’re attempting to play for one thing somewhat bit greater.” — Jenna Laine

Saints storyline to look at: The Saints might be beginning a quarterback with no expertise after Derek Carr injured his indirect in opposition to the Chiefs on Monday, as rookie Spencer Rattler will get the nod with two video games scheduled on brief weeks. Enjoying backups is nearly regular for the Saints now. They began three QBs after Jameis Winston was damage in 2021 and went with Andy Dalton after Winston was damage in 2022. Carr left for 3 video games final season due to accidents, and the Saints had been 0-3 in these video games. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to know: A loss for the Saints will mark their longest dropping streak (4) since dropping 5 straight in 2021.

Daring prediction: Saints WR Rashid Shaheed might be held to beneath 20 receiving yards. Final season at South Carolina, Rattler averaged simply 6.9 air yards per go try, which ranked 113th out of 125 certified FBS quarterbacks. That does not bode effectively for Shaheed. — Walder

Accidents: Buccaneers | Saints

Fantasy X issue: Saints RB Alvin Kamara. With Rattler set to make his NFL debut, the Saints can be sensible to lean closely on Kamara, who’s harmful operating between the tackles and catching passes. The Buccaneers’ protection offers up the sixth-most receptions and the third-most receiving yards to operating backs. Kamara must be a key a part of New Orleans’ recreation plan. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Buccaneers are 8-2 ATS of their previous 10 video games as underdogs. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Buccaneers 24, Saints 14Moody’s decide: Buccaneers 21 Saints 20Walder’s decide: Buccaneers 26, Saints 16FPI prediction: TB, 59.8% (by a mean of three.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Mike Evans: Bucs enjoying for one thing ‘greater’ … What to learn about Saints rookie QB Rattler … Bucs face tough slate

Saints coach Dennis Allen: Spencer Rattler offers us finest probability to win

Saints head coach Dennis Allen explains why rookie Spencer Rattler is getting the beginning vs. the Buccaneers with starter Derek Carr injured.

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: PHI -10 (42.5 O/U)

Browns storyline to look at: The Browns are off to a traditionally unhealthy begin on offense. They’ve scored beneath 20 factors in all 5 video games this season, their longest streak to start out a season since 1999, regardless of all of their opponents rating within the backside half of the NFL in EPA per play. With no sweeping adjustments anticipated — Cleveland is sticking with QB Deshaun Watson and coach Kevin Stefanski is protecting playcalling duties — can the Browns discover an id in opposition to an Eagles protection that ranks Twenty sixth in EPA per play? — Daniel Oyefusi

Eagles storyline to look at: WR A.J. Brown (hamstring) is predicted to play for the primary time since Week 1. The Eagles scored 34 factors within the opener in opposition to the Packers. Within the three video games with out Brown, they averaged 17 factors. With RT Lane Johnson and WR DeVonta Smith additionally anticipated to be again this week from concussions, Philadelphia must be near full well being. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: Watson has a 21 whole QBR this season, which is the fourth-worst whole QBR in group’s first 5 video games of the season amongst 480 QBs to start out all 5 video games since ESPN launched the metric in 2006.

Daring prediction: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts will throw three or extra touchdowns. With Brown and Smith returning and Philadelphia coming off a bye, I feel the Eagles’ passing recreation goes to search out its rhythm in opposition to the single-high heavy Browns. — Walder

Accidents: Browns | Eagles

Fantasy X issue: Browns WR Amari Cooper. Cooper has seen loads of targets, however the fantasy factors have not adopted. He has had eight or extra targets in each recreation, but managed solely 10 or extra fantasy factors in two. This has made Cooper a boom-or-bust choice. The excellent news? He faces an Eagles protection that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy factors per recreation to broad receivers. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Eagles are 1-6 ATS of their previous seven video games as favorites. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Eagles 28, Browns 17Moody’s decide: Eagles 31, Browns 19Walder’s decide: Eagles 31, Browns 20FPI prediction: PHI, 69.5% (by a mean of 8.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Stefanski: Sticking with Watson at QB … Sirianni, Eagles dealing with key stretch … What QB Watson’s first 17 video games in Cleveland have proven

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BAL -6.5 (51.5 O/U)

Commanders storyline to look at: Washington’s run protection ranks thirty first in yards per carry allowed (5.1) and twenty second in yards per recreation (130.0). The Commanders are coming off their finest exhibiting, permitting solely 104 yards versus the Browns — however Cleveland is much from the Ravens on the subject of dashing the ball. Baltimore ranks first in yards per rush (6.1) and dashing yards per recreation (211.2), because of the NFL’s main rusher in RB Derrick Henry and QB Lamar Jackson. The Commanders have allowed an NFL-worst 24 carries of 10-plus yards, whereas the Ravens personal essentially the most such carries (28). — John Keim

Ravens storyline to look at: The struggling Ravens’ protection, which has allowed the seventh-most factors per recreation this season (25.2), faces QB Jayden Daniels and the highest-scoring group within the NFL (31.0). However Baltimore has traditionally dominated younger quarterbacks. Since John Harbaugh grew to become coach in 2008, the Ravens are 23-7 (.767) in opposition to rookie beginning quarterbacks, which trails solely the Steelers (24-5). Baltimore prides itself on the way it disguises coverages, which may maintain a first-year quarterback off-balance. “He positively hasn’t seen a protection like ours,” center linebacker Roquan Smith stated. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: This would be the third beginning QB matchup since 1950 between the reigning Heisman trophy winner and reigning MVP. (The others had been Joe Burrow in opposition to Jackson in 2020, and Jim Plunkett versus John Brodie in 1971).

Comply with the NFL all season lengthy

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Daring prediction: No less than 62 factors might be scored, clearing the present ESPN BET whole by 10 factors. These are two red-hot offenses — they rank first and second in each EPA per dropback and EPA per designed carry — going in opposition to bottom-half defenses (no less than to this point). It must be a factors bonanza. — Walder

Accidents: Commanders | Ravens

Fantasy X issue: Commanders WR Terry McLaurin. McLaurin and Daniels have lastly discovered their rhythm. McLaurin has scored 13 or extra fantasy factors in three straight video games, with two of these passing 18 factors. He has racked up 24 targets throughout that span. This week, McLaurin faces a Ravens protection that permits the eighth-most fantasy factors per recreation to broad receivers. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Commanders have gained their previous two video games as underdogs (plus-7.5 at Bengals, plus-3.5 at Cardinals). Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Commanders 31, Ravens 28Moody’s decide: Ravens 38, Commanders 24Walder’s decide: Ravens 42, Commanders 24FPI prediction: BAL, 64.3% (by a mean of 6.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Daniels retains up ‘superman’ act in opposition to Browns … How Lamar’s unbelievable TD powered Ravens previous Bengals … Daniels does not like Jackson comparisons

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: LAC -3 (35.5 O/U)

Chargers storyline to look at: The Chargers have misplaced seven of their previous 10 matchups in opposition to the Broncos and have not gained in Denver since 2018. The Chargers are on a two-game skid and have not scored a landing within the second half since Week 1. The Broncos, in the meantime, have the second-best protection in factors allowed per recreation (14.6). — Kris Rhim

Broncos storyline to look at: The Broncos — tied for twenty second in scoring (19.2), twenty eighth in yards per play (4.5), thirty first on third down (24.6%) and Twenty sixth within the purple zone effectivity (43.8%) — get the league’s prime scoring protection (permitting 12.5 factors per recreation) because the Chargers are coming off a bye as effectively. The important thing for the Broncos could also be persistence; nothing might be straightforward in opposition to Jesse Minter’s protection. QB Bo Nix has not thrown an interception within the Broncos’ three-game win streak; he threw 4 within the two losses to open the season. — Jeff Legwold

Stat to know: The Broncos have essentially the most pressures in NFL since Week 3 (49) and the second-most sacks (15). The 72 factors they’ve allowed this season are their lowest by way of 5 video games since 2009.

Daring prediction: Broncos CB Riley Moss will file an interception in a second straight recreation. Moss has a goal price of 23%, the best of any nook, with a mean of 1.3 yards per protection snap allowed. Opponents flip to Moss as they attempt to keep away from Pat Surtain II, which ought to grant him interception alternatives. — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Broncos

Fantasy X issue: Chargers RB J.Ok. Dobbins. It is a nice probability for Dobbins to get again on monitor. The Broncos’ secondary has been robust, holding DK Metcalf, George Pickens, Mike Evans and Garrett Wilson to beneath 50 receiving yards this season. However they are much simpler to run on than go in opposition to. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Every of the previous 3 times the Chargers had been street favorites in Denver, the Broncos gained outright (2019 to 2021). Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Chargers 24, Broncos 21Moody’s decide: Broncos 23, Chargers 20Walder’s decide: Chargers 19, Broncos 16FPI prediction: LAC, 54.4% (by a mean of two.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Chargers ‘not panicking’ however look to be ‘crisper’ on offense … Nix breakout? What’s subsequent for the rookie QB … Does QB Herbert must go extra for Chargers to win?

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PIT -3 (36.5 O/U)

Steelers storyline to look at: Coach Mike Tomlin left the door ajar for QB Russell Wilson to be energetic in opposition to the Raiders, however that does not essentially imply he’ll supplant Justin Fields because the starter after going by way of his first full apply since aggravating his calf harm on Sept. 5. The Steelers, although, want one thing to leap begin their offense after dropping two of three video games largely to sluggish begins. Regardless of enjoying depleted defenses, the Steelers have averaged simply 4.3 factors within the first half in comparison with 16 within the second half. The Raiders’ protection is banged up with prime free company acquisition DT Christian Wilkins sidelined indefinitely with a foot harm. — Brooke Pryor

Raiders storyline to look at: The Raiders are in search of a spark, so for the second time in a calendar yr, QB Aidan O’Connell finds himself coming off the bench to be the starter. Final season, then-rookie O’Connell supplanted Jimmy Garoppolo. Now, O’Connell is changing Gardner Minshew, who gained a decent coaching camp battle for the gig. With O’Connell having the larger arm however being considerably much less cellular than Minshew, and the Steelers boasting a fearsome go rush, count on lots of max safety and quick-passing calls. — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: The Steelers have allowed a mean of 23.5 factors per recreation of their two straight losses after permitting 8.7 factors in three straight wins to start out the season.

Daring prediction: Raiders edge Maxx Crosby will file no less than two sacks. Fields has been higher about avoiding sacks this season, however his 8.1% sack price is increased than common. And Crosby might be dealing with Broderick Jones, who’s a shade beneath common in go block win price. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Raiders

Fantasy X issue: Steelers RB Najee Harris. Harris is primed for a giant workload in opposition to the Raiders, with Jaylen Warren (knee) uncertain and Cordarrelle Patterson (knee) out. He has averaged solely 10.2 fantasy factors per recreation this season, however he has seen 16 or extra touches in each recreation. Harris ought to discover success in opposition to a Raiders protection that provides up the fifth-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Raiders have coated 5 straight video games following a loss (2-0 ATS this season). Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Steelers 20, Raiders 17Moody’s decide: Steelers 26, Raiders 14Walder’s decide: Steelers 19, Raiders 16FPI prediction: PIT, 56.2% (by a mean of two.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Pickens says he was unaware of eye black rule … QB O’Connell to start out for the Raiders

Ought to Russell Wilson begin over Justin Fields in Week 6?

Jason McCourty, Dan Orlovsky and Stephen A. Smith break down the Steelers QB scenario after back-to-back losses.

4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: DET -3 (52.5 O/U)

Lions storyline to look at: A controversial ending to final yr’s matchup grew to become a trending subject when Dallas beat Detroit after a possible game-winning 2-point conversion by Lions OL Taylor Decker was negated by an unlawful touching penalty for not reporting as eligible. Nevertheless, Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson stated, “It is final yr. We’re on a mission this yr and we’re not going to let the previous outline us.” QB Jared Goff additionally emphasised that the Dallas loss is not at the back of their heads as they put together to face the Cowboys once more, however extra so serving to Detroit safe a victory over Dallas for the primary time since 2013. — Eric Woodyard

Cowboys storyline to look at: Getting into the season, the Cowboys had gained 16 straight residence video games, which was the second-longest residence profitable streak in franchise historical past. Then, they misplaced their first two residence video games this season, and in the event that they lose a 3rd straight Sunday to the Lions, it is going to mark their first three-game residence dropping streak — with their beginning quarterback — since 2006. The Cowboys misplaced three straight at residence in 2020 with out Dak Prescott and in 2010, 2014 (one begin) and 2015 with out Tony Romo. — Todd Archer

Stat to know: After finishing 19 consecutive passes in opposition to the Seahawks in Week 4, Goff might match the longest streak in NFL historical past with six straight in opposition to the Cowboys. Philip Rivers set the file of 25 in 2018.

Daring prediction: Cowboys LB DeMarvion Overshown will lead all gamers in mixed tackles in Week 6. He is the No. 1 participant in my sack projections for the week, and you’ll see why as he has the Twenty sixth-highest deal with per snap price of any participant within the league. He performed 100% of snaps final week and now faces the run-heavy Lions. — Walder

Accidents: Lions | Cowboys

Fantasy X issue: Lions RB David Montgomery. Via Week 4, the Lions led the league in operating again touches. Montgomery has had a dashing landing and put up 15 or extra fantasy factors in each recreation. He ought to proceed to thrive in opposition to a Cowboys protection that provides up the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Prescott has not closed as no less than a three-point residence underdog since 2018. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Lions 34, Cowboys 28Moody’s decide: Lions 31, Cowboys 27Walder’s decide: Lions 28, Cowboys 17FPI prediction: DET, 57.2% (by a mean of three.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: WR Williams’ difficult journey to NFL stardom … Dowdle giving hope to Cowboys’ struggling run recreation? … Metropolis of Detroit trolls St. Brown’s brother on social media

4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: ATL -6 (46.5 O/U)

Falcons storyline to look at: QB Kirk Cousins has thrown a league-high eight touchdowns when not beneath stress in 2024, with no interceptions, however has a league-high 5 interceptions (with no touchdowns) when beneath stress. The Panthers, in the meantime, are twenty ninth within the league in go rush win price (31.7%). Can Cousins, coming off a franchise-high 509-yard efficiency, proceed to shake off the rust in Charlotte? — Marc Raimondi

Panthers storyline to look at: The Panthers’ protection ranks close to the underside of the league in virtually each main class, they usually aren’t superb offensively, both. However one in every of their massive weaknesses, third down effectivity, has an opportunity to enhance. A Carolina group ranked twenty eighth (28.3%) within the league faces the worst third-down protection (48.5%) in Atlanta. — David Newton

Stat to know: The Falcons have trailed within the closing minute of the fourth quarter in all three of their wins this season. They’re the primary group in NFL historical past to try this inside the first 5 video games.

Better of NFL Nation

• Packers’ McKinney ‘good’ begin• Canales protecting 1-4 Panthers constructive• Sirianni, Eagles dealing with key stretch• Will Chargers go extra?• Texans navigate lack of WR Nico Collins

Daring prediction: Bijan Robinson would be the highest scoring fantasy operating again in Week 6, with an affect in each the run and go recreation. The Panthers’ protection is the treatment to all woes. — Walder

Accidents: Falcons | Panthers

Fantasy X issue: Panthers WR Diontae Johnson. Johnson has a fantastic alternative to bounce again after a quieter Week 5, the place he managed simply six targets and 5.9 fantasy factors. It is price remembering he had 14 targets and put up 26.2 fantasy factors in Week 3, adopted by 13 targets and 21.3 factors in Week 4. The Falcons have given up the eighth-most receptions per recreation to broad receivers this season. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Unders are 17-5 in Falcons-Panthers matchups since 2013. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Falcons 21, Panthers 13Moody’s decide: Falcons 35, Panthers 21Walder’s decide: Falcons 34, Panthers 23FPI prediction: ATL, 62.0% (by a mean of 5.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cousins-Mooney connection is rising … How coach Canales is protecting 1-4 Panthers constructive

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: CIN -3.5 (47.5 O/U)

Bengals storyline to look at: The matchup between Cincinnati’s offense and the Giants protection will dictate the end result. Cincinnati is second within the league in factors per drive and QB Joe Burrow is second in whole QBR (73.6). However up to now three weeks, the Giants have had a really disruptive go rush (fourth in PRWR (50%), first in sacks per dropback (11.6%), and solely three of their opponents previous 34 drives have had snaps within the purple zone. — Ben Child

Giants storyline to look at: The Giants have gained simply one in every of their previous 14 prime-time video games with Daniel Jones at quarterback, giving him the worst file of any quarterback in prime time for the reason that 1970 merger (minimal 10 begins). Jones did not appear all that completely happy listening to about that streak coming into Sunday evening’s matchup with the Bengals. “I feel we have got to win extra video games,” he stated. “You take a look at the previous, over time, we have not gained sufficient, interval.” This might be yet one more probability to shift the narrative in a recreation the place they’re underdogs. — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: The Bengals are 0-4 all time on street versus the Giants — one in every of two franchises they’ve by no means defeated on the street (Vikings 0-6).

Daring prediction: The Bengals will rating no less than 34 factors. Regardless of their 1-4 file, Cincinnati’s offense ranks third in EPA per play and Burrow ranks second in QBR — which might be his finest end by far if he can sustain that tempo. I am not apprehensive concerning the Bengals scoring factors right here. — Walder

Accidents: Bengals | Giants

Fantasy X issue: Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson. With Malik Nabers nonetheless in concussion protocol, it is unsure whether or not he’ll be cleared to face the Bengals. No matter Nabers’ standing, Robinson ought to stay a key a part of the Giants’ passing recreation. The Bengals’ protection permits the Twelfth-most receptions per recreation to broad receivers. Robinson has seen eight or extra targets in 4 of his 5 video games this season, making him a dependable choice. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Unders are 5-0 in Sunday evening video games this season, 31-10 up to now three seasons and 60-31-2 since 2019. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Bengals 24, Giants 21Moody’s decide: Bengals 30, Giants 27Walder’s decide: Bengals 34, Giants 17FPI prediction: CIN, 60.6% (by a mean of 4.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bengals defenders maintain assembly, know ‘we’ve got to do our half’ … What’s subsequent for RB Tracy after breakout recreation? … Bengals’ revamped protection struggling in 1-4 begin

8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | ESPN BET: BUF -2.5 (40.5 O/U)

Payments storyline to look at: The massive query for the Payments going into this matchup is that if the offense can flip itself round sufficient to keep away from the group’s first three recreation dropping streak with Josh Allen beginning — and the group’s first total since dropping 4 straight in 2018. The Payments are averaging 15 factors per recreation over the group’s previous two video games after averaging 37.3 factors per recreation within the three-game profitable streak to start out the season. There’s a query surrounding the supply of main receiver Khalil Shakir (ankle), who has but to take part in apply and missed final week vs. the Texans. The Payments will want different gamers to step up and help Allen, particularly if Shakir shouldn’t be obtainable. — Alaina Getzenberg

Jets storyline to look at: Jeff Ulbrich makes his interim head-coaching debut, inheriting a two-game dropping streak however solely a one-game deficit from the highest of the AFC East. Considered one of Ulbrich’s targets is to remove the Jets’ fame as perennially sluggish starters, which plagued them by way of the Robert Saleh period. This season, they’ve virtually as many penalties within the first quarter (13) as factors (14). Ulbrich, who demoted playcaller Nathaniel Hackett and changed him with Todd Downing, stated the group will play with a “heightened sense of urgency.” — Wealthy Cimini

Stat to know: The Payments have by no means misplaced three straight video games following a 3-0 begin in franchise historical past. They’ve began 3-0 12 occasions.

Waiting for the 2025 NFL draft

Daring prediction: The Jets will fail to sack Allen. Although Will McDonald IV (6.0 sacks) has been a pleasing shock, the Jets’ go rush is missing. It ranks Twenty sixth in go rush win price. The Jets are outmatched by the Payments’ offensive line (second in go block win price), and Allen has a sack price beneath 4% this yr. — Walder

Accidents: Payments | Jets

Fantasy X issue: Jets RB Breece Corridor. Regardless of scoring 18 or extra fantasy factors in every of his first three video games, Corridor has managed simply 10.5 fantasy factors over the previous two weeks behind an offensive line that ranks twenty seventh in run block win price. Nevertheless, there’s some hope this week as New York faces a Payments protection that provides up essentially the most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: All three Payments street video games this season have gone beneath the entire. 4 straight Jets video games have gone beneath the entire. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Payments 28, Jets 21Moody’s decide: Payments 24, Jets 19Walder’s decide: Payments 23, Jets 20FPI prediction: BUF, 54.9% (by a mean of two.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Payments’ offensive mantra — ‘everyone eats’ — being examined … Will firing Saleh remedy Jets’ struggles? … … Jets demote OC Hackett, faucet Todd Downing to name offense

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