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My first wager: Early picks for NFL Week 8

October 21, 2024
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Just one group stays undefeated after seven weeks of NFL motion, the defending Tremendous Bowl champion Kansas Metropolis Chiefs. This week kicks off with the Minnesota Vikings touring to Inglewood to face the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday evening.

The Sunday slate options a variety of intriguing matchups together with the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers battling for NFC South supremacy and the Chicago Bears visiting the Washington Commanders. On Sunday evening, the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers look to get a win after struggling losses of their final video games. On Monday evening Soccer, the Pittsburgh Steelers, led by a resurgent Russell Wilson meet the New York Giants.

Our group takes an early have a look at Week 8 odds to search out worth earlier than traces transfer later within the week:

Odds present as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Joe Fortenbaugh’s first wager: Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) at Miami Dolphins

Final week: Saints-Broncos UNDER 37.5. Line closed at 37.5. Broncos received 33-10.

Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. will look to attach on some massive performs Monday evening towards the Chargers’ secondary. Picture by Norm Corridor/Getty Photos

This sport is priced as if Tua Tagovailoa will begin Sunday towards the Cardinals, and we aren’t one hundred pc positive that is the case. Even when the fifth-year quarterback does make his return, he is on the helm of an offense predicated on timing and precision… which can also be an offense he hasn’t been affiliated with for six weeks. The rust issue is massive right here. Now, let’s think about the choice: Tua does not return and we’re getting +3.5 towards a Tim Boyle-led assault that has averaged a paltry 10 factors per sport since Tagovailoa was misplaced attributable to a concussion. Given the truth that “3” is probably the most key quantity relating to soccer betting, I am snug leaping in now at +3.5.

Ben Solak’s first wager: Philadelphia Eagles-Cincinnati Bengals over 46.5 factors

The Eagles and Bengals have shared their final two opponents — each groups have performed the Browns and the Giants — and that has led each groups to look rather more competent on protection than they in all probability are. I feel the Eagles can run on Cincinnati, who nonetheless lacks the personnel of a robust run protection; I feel the Bengals can throw on the Eagles, who’re enjoying a number of rookies of their secondary. I will take the over right here.

Seth Walder’s first wager: Buffalo Payments to win AFC East (-700)

what? Worth is worth, even at -700. FPI makes the Payments a 94% likelihood favourite to win this division, or a good value of -1613. They’re by far the very best group within the division and are a minimum of 2.5 video games up on each different group. The Payments are the fourth-best group in soccer, per FPI, with arguably the league MVP so far at quarterback. In the meantime the Patriots are within the working for worst group in soccer, the Dolphins are lifeless with out Tua Tagovailoa and the Jets cannot get their act collectively, even after buying Davante Adams. Buffalo is a powerhouse already properly within the lead and none of its competitors can take the group down.

The Panthers offense struggled mightily in Week 7 towards the Commanders and will have some extra hassle towards Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos on Sunday. AP Picture/Charles Rex Arbogast

Andre Snellings’ first wager: Denver Broncos (-7.5) vs. Carolina Panthers

Final week: Commanders (-7.5) vs. Panthers. Line closed at -10.5. Commanders received 40-7.

I am formally in “give the factors towards the Panthers” mode till one thing important adjustments. The Panthers are virtually comically dangerous this season, on a scale that the traces do not appear able to maintaining with. Exterior of their Week 3 win over the Raiders, the Panthers have misplaced all six of their different video games by a mean of 24.5 PPG! It is even worse on the highway, the place their common loss is by 32 factors and so they haven’t any losses by lower than 26 factors. The Broncos, in the meantime, have received 4 of their final 5 video games, three of which by a minimum of 16 factors. The Broncos have arguably the very best protection within the league, permitting the third-fewest yards and third-fewest factors per sport. The Panthers have arguably the worst offense within the league, scoring the fifth-fewest factors on the fifth-fewest yards per sport. This shapes as much as be one other blowout loss for the Panthers.

Anita Marks: Inexperienced Bay Packers (-4.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Final week: Vikings (-2) vs. Lions. Line closed at -1.5. Lions received 31-29

Editor’s Picks

2 Associated

The Packers are coming in with momentum after an enormous win towards the Houston Texans. Jordan Love is 4-1 ATS in his final 5 highway video games and has the arm to select aside the Jaguars horrible secondary. Jacksonville returns dwelling after spending two weeks in London and should get readjusted to the states. The Jags are 4-9 ATS their final 13 video games and Trevor Lawrence can not help however flip the ball over.

Pam Maldonado’s first wager: Navy (+12.5) vs. Notre Dame

Final week: Texas (-3.5) vs. Georgia. Line closed at -4.5. Georgia received 30-15.

Here is one thing you do not count on to be taught on a Monday morning: The Midshipmen rank No. 1 in EPA (anticipated factors added) per play in passing offense. Identified for his or her run-heavy triple-option scheme, Navy has developed a surprisingly efficient passing sport with quarterback Blake Horvath on the helm, pushing them to No. 7 in offensive success charge. They’re persistently shifting the chains and placing themselves in scoring positions. And let’s not neglect, it wasn’t too way back that the Combating Irish misplaced outright to Northern Illinois, giving up 10.4 yards per go and 190 speeding yards. This will likely very properly be probably the most environment friendly offense Notre Dame has confronted this season.



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