After 17 seasons as an expert baseball participant – very practically half his life – Kyle Higashioka has signed his first main league free agent contract. And the timing couldn’t have been higher. Higashioka entered a skinny catching market coming off the best offensive season of his profession, and he cashed in to the tune of a barely back-loaded two-year, $12.5 million cope with the Rangers. The deal additionally has a $7 million mutual choice for 2027 with a $1 million buyout, which implies Higashioka is assured to make $13.5 million.
One very disappointing yr faraway from a World Sequence championship, the Rangers are hoping that the 34-year-old’s consistency might help them bounce again into competition. Higashioka has now strung collectively three consecutive seasons wherein he’s performed at the very least 83 video games and put up at the very least 1.3 WAR. Texas would like to see him make it 4.
Don’t let Higashioka’s total consistency idiot you, although. He really regarded fairly totally different in 2024. For starters, he ran an 80 wRC+ from 2021 to 2023, then jumped to 105 in 2024. Earlier than final season, all of his worth got here from his glove, however his huge offensive yr was barely difficult too. Higashioka has all the time been in a position to hit the ball exhausting, however in 2024, he put up the very best energy numbers of his profession. He hit a career-high 17 homers, and his .256 ISO was by a really vast margin the very best mark he’d put up since he began getting critical taking part in time in 2021. On the similar time, his .301 xwOBA was really his worst mark since 2019, and it fell principally due to tumbling exit velocities. That’s puzzling on the floor: Higashioka hit the ball softer than ever, however put up the very best energy numbers of his profession. Nevertheless, greater than batted ball luck was behind his capability to outperform his anticipated stats.
In 2024, Higashioka optimized his contact by going full-on Isaac Paredes: 29.3% of his balls in play have been fly balls or line drives to the pull facet. Among the many 343 gamers who put at the very least 150 balls in play, that was the second-highest mark in baseball. (He trailed Jake Bauers by 0.04 proportion factors, whereas Paredes was all the best way down at fifth.) Higashioka has all the time hit these pulled air balls at a excessive charge – from 2020 to 2023, he was at 21.8%, which put him within the 91st percentile. Nonetheless, including one other 8.5 proportion factors to that whole is an excessive bounce. He has mentioned that as early as 2015, he was making an attempt to mannequin his swing after Josh Donaldson’s, and in 2024 he reached the last word expression of the shape. Higashioka’s hard-hit charge fell from 48.3% in 2023 all the best way to 37.4% in 2024. That’s an unlimited drop-off, however as a result of he hit so many balls within the air, his barrel charge stayed practically an identical, and since he pulled so lots of them, his residence run charge on fly balls jumped from 14.3% to 18.9%.
So what ought to we anticipate from Higashioka in 2025? His hard-hit charge appears primed to bounce again a bit. His contact charge exterior the strike zone was a lot larger than typical, and O-Contact tends to be fluky and may depress a participant’s energy numbers. However, Higashioka’s max and Ninetieth-percentile exit velocities dropped off considerably in 2024. As we’re speaking a couple of 34-year-old catcher, it could be honest to imagine that his top-end energy has peaked.
Higashioka’s protection has additionally taken a step again currently. Each framing metric indicated that this was the worst season of his profession, leaving him only a bit above common. Statcast rated him beneath common when it comes to blocking and controlling the operating sport, however Baseball Prospectus nonetheless gave him strong marks in each classes. In all, Higashioka is wanting like he ought to present league-average protection behind the plate, with the potential for a bounce again in his framing. Nevertheless he does it, if he can handle to maintain hitting at or above the league common, then that makes him a lovely backup piece, particularly when you think about the wants of his new group.
To say that Rangers catchers struggled mightily final season can be a Texas-sized understatement. Their 0.1 WAR ranked twenty sixth in baseball, and their 67 wRC+ ranked twenty seventh. Andrew Knizner, who began the season backing up Jonah Heim, someway put up -0.6 WAR over simply 91 plate appearances, which sounds prefer it ought to be unattainable till you see that he ran a wRC+ of 9. Any time your wRC+ is sufficiently small that I have to seek the advice of our type information to verify I’m not supposed to jot down it out, you’re in bother. (Editor’s notice: We all the time use numerals for wRC+, however we normally spell out single-digit numbers for counting stats, akin to residence runs.) The Rangers traded for Carson Kelly on the deadline, however Kelly promptly become a pumpkin, his wRC+ dropping from 108 with the Tigers to 81 wRC+ with Texas.
The larger concern is incumbent starter Heim, who has now performed in at the very least 128 video games in every of the final three seasons. Over that span, he ranks third in video games caught and fourth in innings caught. He may use a break, and Higashioka is way more certified than Knizner to provide him a spell. The switch-hitting Heim had a breakout season in 2022, pairing league-average offense with wonderful framing to place up 2.7 WAR. In 2023, he planted his flag as the most effective catchers within the sport, solely to see it torn down straight away.
Via July 26, 2023, Heim mixed a 122 wRC+ with elite protection, and his 3.5 WAR ranked second amongst all catchers. That day, he tore a tendon sheath in his wrist throughout a swing. He returned lower than three weeks later, however he wasn’t the identical participant. His capability to hit left-handed, the ultimate puzzle piece that had vaulted him into the higher echelon, vanished: He ran a wRC+ of 46 from the left facet from that time on. In 2024, 106 gamers made at the very least 300 PAs batting left-handed towards right-handed pitchers, and Heim’s 64 wRC+ ranked useless final amongst them. His framing worth additionally tumbled. He ended the season with a 70 wRC+ and -0.1 WAR. If Heim can’t determine issues out, Higashioka may conceivably be requested to tackle a bigger position. Even when Heim does return to type, the Rangers ought to be excited to have a catcher who can deal with a heavier load. Heim’s punishing workload is more likely to grind him into mud ultimately, if it hasn’t began doing so already.
For Higashioka, signing a free agent deal is, in some methods, the excessive level of a outstanding profession. The Yankees drafted him within the seventh spherical of the draft in 2008, after which he spent 9 years of their farm system. He reached minor league free company in 2015, signing a minor league deal to return to the Yankees, and made his huge league debut in 2017. Even then, Higashioka didn’t play greater than 30 video games in New York till 2021. Following the 2023 season, after 16 years within the group, the Yankees included the 33-year-old Higashioka of their commerce with the Padres for Juan Soto. Persisting up to now actually is an achievement.
As for what this implies for the free agent market as a complete, strong catchers are getting much more scarce. Our Prime 50 Free Brokers checklist featured only one catcher: Danny Jansen, who was all the best way down at 43. He wasn’t even the highest-ranked Jansen out there. With Higashioka off the board, the remaining out there catchers include former-Ranger Kelly, Yasmani Grandal, and a passel of gamers who accrued someplace between 0.6 and -1.2 WAR in the course of the 2024 season. When you’re a contender who needs a catcher, act now.
