Again when Jayson Tatum was drafted in 2017, not many scouts predicted he would develop into greater than a scorer. After a fantastic freshman yr at Duke, the standard draft comparisons have been made with high-volume isolation scorers who lacked passing abilities, akin to Carmelo Anthony or Harrison Barnes. There have been issues about his capacity to develop right into a playmaker.
NBADraft.web stated, “he isn’t probably the most snug playmaker on the transfer.” Sports activities Illustrated scouts have been aligned, writing that, “he’s growing as a passer however isn’t a playmaker with the ball in his palms.” Equally, Bleacher Report scouts voiced issues about his passing, noting, “his shot choice and incapacity to search out the open man in sure conditions have been issues for me,” and “he’s undoubtedly not a shoot-it-or-move-it man.”
There isn’t any disgrace in not foreseeing Jayson Tatum’s potential as a playmaking and passing wing again then. After 29 video games within the NCAA with Duke, he had simply 62 assists to 76 turnovers over almost 1,000 minutes. With 16.8 factors per recreation and solely 2.1 assists, the stability was clearly tilted towards scoring for JT. And to be truthful, it took a number of years to vary.
Into the small print
To know a participant’s tendency to playmake or rating, we use Cleansing the Glass’s playmaking ratio. The “assist-to-usage ratio (AST:Usg)” statistic offers a transparent image of a participant’s stability. Cross-first level guards usually have an AST:Usg above 1, whereas finishers fall beneath the 0.5 mark. Early in his profession, Jayson Tatum’s numbers have been firmly within the latter.
Wanting on the numbers, Tatum was primarily a scorer. The primary shift got here after the bubble, when Kemba Walker handed over the offensive reins to Tatum and Jaylen Brown. From 2019–20 to 2020–21, his utilization price rose from 28% to 31%, whereas his help price elevated from 14% to twenty%. This was his first step towards turning into a playmaker and an offense’s major creator. Nonetheless, progress stagnated till this season.
This season, whereas his utilization price is just like final season’s, Tatum’s help price has taken one other leap, shifting him nearer to the realm of a major playmaker. For context, offensive stars with a playmaking ratio of 0.8 or barely larger embody De’Aaron Fox, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Kyrie Irving—guards identified for his or her playmaking capacity.
With Kristaps Porziņģis again from damage, this quantity may climb even larger — Tatum has already assisted him 9 instances since his return. As for the remainder of the Celtics, Derrick White is the most important recipient of Tatum’s passing, with 30 assists from JT to D-White thus far. Over the primary few video games of the season, they’ve developed into an unstoppable pick-and-roll duo, with each gamers able to setting screens, pulling up, and executing short-roll passes to the rim.
Talking of pick-and-roll, Tatum’s capacity to set screens is among the Celtics’ hidden gems. This usually creates panic in opponents’ minds and forces defensive collapses. Now that we’ve delved into Tatum’s passing stats, let’s look at his on-court execution. We’ve glimpsed his expertise in pick-and-rolls with Derrick White; now, let’s discover his passing repertoire — left hand, proper hand, two-handed, and no-look passes — from the season’s early video games.
Left hand dishes
Having the ability to ship a live-dribble cross with the weak hand opens up numerous alternatives for Tatum. Beforehand, groups may double-team him and power him to retreat to his left. This usually disrupted the offense.
Now, with improved ball-handling and left-handed passing, groups take better dangers when scheming in opposition to his left. Along with his left, he can ship exact passes to rim runners, creating probably the most environment friendly photographs in basketball.
Whereas 20% of his assists are on the rim, 18% go to the nook—one other high-efficiency zone. The left-handed live-dribble cross makes this much more harmful for opponents. The Celtics’ spacing permits the Jays to thrive in drive-and-kick eventualities.
Tatum’s newfound capacity to ship bullet passes along with his left hand at full velocity provides one other layer of problem for defenses.
Proper hand and over the top passes
It’s simple to overlook how efficient Tatum is along with his proper hand—or with two palms. His improved deal with has been a game-changer. Examine his play within the 2022 Finals to now. He’s a special participant. Tatum generally operates as a 6’8” level guard, working pick-and-rolls with poise and delivering exact passes, whether or not on the bounce or not.
Why spotlight two-handed passes? If Tatum can cross properly with both hand, why does it matter? First, it showcases his measurement benefit. Outsized playmakers like Tatum can ship cross-court, two-handed passes over defenders with ease.
This top benefit opens up passing lanes and simplifies Tatum’s job. Nonetheless, two-handed passing isn’t simple — the court docket is way larger than it seems on TV. Early in his profession, Tatum sometimes overthrew these passes.
Now, he’s mastered them, delivering pinpoint passes over one or two defenders. Tatum is nearing the total package deal as a passer. The one lacking piece? The no-look cross — the final word shenanigan ability for elite playmakers.
The no look cross is coming
Whereas the no-look cross isn’t totally developed, Tatum is exhibiting indicators of mastery. Have a look at this sequence, the place he senses Derrick Jones Jr. closing in and baits him right into a lure utilizing his court docket imaginative and prescient.
Jayson Tatum’s progress as a passer is redefining his position on the Celtics. From live-dribble left-handed feeds to two-handed cross-court lasers, he’s showcasing a full arsenal that makes him more durable to scheme in opposition to. The no-look cross could be the remaining flourish, however even with out it, Tatum’s playmaking leap is cementing his standing as one of many NBA’s most full gamers.