For the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs’ celebrity tight finish Travis Kelce, 2023 was a season of each triumph and battle.
As he was being catapulted into worldwide fame by way of his podcast (and his highly-publicized romance with pop icon Taylor Swift), he performed by way of a season wherein he battled a number of accidents and watched his statistical manufacturing decline.
Kelce missed the season’s opening sport on account of a bone bruise from a knee hyperextension that he suffered throughout observe simply two days earlier than. In Week 5, he sustained an ankle damage. Though he didn’t miss one other sport till he selected to sit down out in Week 18, most observers thought Kelce by no means seemed fairly the identical; it was extensively believed he had “misplaced a step.”
Kelce completed the season with 984 receiving yards, ending his record-smashing streak of 1,000-yard seasons at seven. However following his week off, Kelce returned to his outdated methods within the playoffs, accumulating 32 receptions for 355 yards and three touchdowns over 4 video games — and as soon as once more taking part in a key position because the Chiefs gained their second consecutive Tremendous Bowl.
In 2024, Kelce will flip 35. What sort of manufacturing can we count on from him this season — and the way lengthy ought to we count on him to play?
Corridor of Fame tight finish manufacturing after age 35
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There are 9 tight ends within the Professional Soccer Corridor of Fame. As soon as he retires, Kelce will undoubtedly be a part of this illustrious group as a first-ballot enshrinee. Simply three of those performed by way of the age of 35: former Chief Tony Gonzalez, Shannon Sharpe and Jackie Smith.
Whereas he performed by way of his age-38 season, Smith didn’t produce a lot after he turned 35 in 1975. In any case, his statistics are per the period wherein he performed. In these days, the working sport dominated; a good finish’s important job was to dam. So it’s best to check Kelce to his different two Corridor of Fame contemporaries.
Participant GS Tgts Rec Yds Y/R TD
Travis Kelce (34) 15 121 93 984 10.6 5
Shannon Sharpe(34) 13 88 61 686 11.2 3
Shannon Sharpe(35) 15 94 62 770 12.4 8
Tony Gonzalez(34) 16 108 70 656 9.4 6
Tony Gonzalez(35) 16 116 80 875 10.9 7
Tony Gonzalez(36) 16 124 93 930 10.0 8
Tony Gonzalez(37) 16 121 83 859 10.3 8
Regardless that it was a “down” 12 months for him, Kelce’s 2023 season was extra productive than both Gonzalez or Sharpe’s age-34 seasons — partly as a result of he had extra targets as a bigger a part of the Kansas Metropolis offense. Throughout his profession, Kelce’s model of soccer can also be starkly completely different from how these two Corridor of Famers performed. The Chiefs incessantly align Kelce within the slot. Conventional tight ends tended to be on the road of scrimmage, the place they’ll extra simply be used as blockers.
However notice that neither Gonzalez or Sharpe’s manufacturing dipped after they turned 34. It really improved of their age-35 seasons — and for Gonzalez, even past that.
Nonetheless, no tight finish older than 34 has completed a season with 1,000 receiving yards — and solely three have ever eclipsed 700 yards. (Along with Sharpe and Gonzalez, Ben Watson had an 825-yard season at 35). Gonzalez’s 930 yards in his age-36 season is probably the most receiving yards by a good finish on this age vary. Kelce could have a reputable probability at exceeding these numbers this season.
The underside line
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Whereas quarterback Patrick Mahomes is undoubtedly the offense’s chief, it hinges on Kelce’s means in the course of the sphere. With the tight finish hobbled for at the very least a portion of the 2023 season — and with the problems at extensive receiver — the offense by no means seemed fairly proper.
Whereas it’s cheap to be involved about accidents to a participant his age, Kelce has remained remarkably wholesome all through his profession. Final season’s Week 1 sport was the primary he’d missed on account of damage since his rookie season in 2013. However because the staff has added offensive assist in the type of extensive receivers Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy, Kelce ought to be capable of draw much less consideration from defenses — which couldn’t solely assist his manufacturing but in addition cut back the wear and tear and tear on his physique.
Kelce continues to exhibit he’s a uncommon breed. He has already far outpaced the norms for manufacturing at his age. And whereas different Corridor of Fame tight ends haven’t performed as lengthy into their careers, final season proved Kelce can nonetheless be greater than an efficient contributor. He can nonetheless be the weapon within the Kansas Metropolis offense.
Some imagine that Kelce’s days because the league’s greatest tight finish are coming to an finish. However that may’t be predicted solely by his age. Historical past exhibits he can nonetheless be productive within the coming 12 months — and even perhaps past that.
When Kelce hangs up his cleats, he’ll most likely be thought of the best tight finish of all time. However that’s not occurring in 2024 — and it could not occur in 2025, both. To date, he’s managed to outrun Father Time. He’ll attempt to remain within the lead — and proceed being a key cog in Kansas Metropolis’s offensive machine because the staff goals for an unprecedented three-peat as Tremendous Bowl champions.