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Chelsea’s attacking numbers and expected goals – Talk Chelsea

March 20, 2025
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This season has been frustrating for most Chelsea fans, to say the least. These young players create plenty of chances, dominate possession, and regularly find themselves in goal-scoring positions—but the finishing just hasn’t been there.

For a squad of 60 players valued at a billion, that’s a serious problem. All that possession, all those openings, yet nothing to show for it.

Same Old Problems

The recent 0-1 loss at the Emirates was yet another reminder that Chelsea can dominate possession all day long but still come away with nothing.

With the international break offering a reset, Chelsea’s clash against Tottenham at Stamford Bridge is crucial—drop more points, and their Champions League hopes take a serious hit.

According to non GamStop bookies, Chelsea are 4/6 to win at home, with a draw at 18/5 and Tottenham at 10/3 to take all the points. A set total of 3.5 goals, with 20/21 on the over, show that this could go either way, but for Chelsea, there’s only one acceptable outcome—winning.

More Than Just the Strikers

Chelsea’s goal-scoring issues don’t start and end with the strikers. The midfield has been just as guilty, offering little in terms of attacking output.

Caicedo, Enzo Fernández, and Lavia are all talented, but none of them bring the power, drive, or goal threat that the likes of Lampard, Ballack, Essien, or Mikel once provided.

Physically, they will never dominate games, and creatively, they just can’t offer enough cutting edge. Without a midfielder who can break lines, drive forward, and chip in with goals, Chelsea will keep struggling to turn possession into real threat.

Tactical Adjustments Needed

Enzo Maresca’s tactical setup has allowed Chelsea to create chances, but there are still flaws in how they approach the final third. Too often, Chelsea’s attackers rush their shots or fail to pick the right option when under pressure.

Movement off the ball is another issue. Palmer consistently finds himself in dangerous areas, but the rest of the attack lacks the same sharpness.

There’s no true poacher in the squad—Jackson has the physical attributes but doesn’t yet have the instinct of a top striker.

Maresca has experimented with different approaches, occasionally pushing Palmer centrally or tweaking Neto’s role, but constant adjustments won’t fix the problem. Chelsea need a more defined attacking structure, one that maximizes their xG and turns dominance into goals.

The chances are there—it’s time to start finishing them.

The Defensive Impact on Attacking Play

Another factor that can’t be ignored is Chelsea’s defense. Just look at the backline and be real—there isn’t a single player who would have made it into Abramovich’s Chelsea.

Badiashile and Fofana have their moments but lack leadership. Chilwell and Reece James struggle with injuries, while Chalobah, for all his love for the club, isn’t at the level required to compete at the very top.

With a backline like this, it’s no wonder the entire team looks shaky.

When defenders can’t be relied upon, everything else collapses. The midfield plays with hesitation, the attack lacks confidence, and instead of pressing high and dominating, Chelsea spend too much time covering gaps.

In the Abramovich era, the defense was a fortress—Terry, Carvalho, Cole, and prime Ivanović didn’t just stop goals, they dictated the game. Right now, there’s no presence, no fear factor, and no stability.

If Chelsea want to compete, they need five experienced players—leaders who can take control, organize the backline, and set the foundation for the team to attack with confidence.

Otherwise, it doesn’t matter how many xG they rack up; without a solid defense, they’ll always be chasing games instead of winning them.

The Road Ahead

All club legends have said the same thing—this Chelsea squad lacks leadership. It’s an immature team full of potential but missing the experience and mentality to control games in key moments.

Nkunku, Sancho, Madueke, and Jackson are all talented, but none of them have the presence to take charge when the team needs direction. They can produce moments of brilliance, but without a commanding figure to guide them, Chelsea’s attack often looks disjointed.

There’s no one demanding the ball when things aren’t going their way, no one setting the tempo when they need to take control of a match.

That’s the difference between potential and dominance. Chelsea’s attack is full of flair, but without a leader to bring it all together, it remains inconsistent.

The talent is there, but without a clear focal point, they’ll keep struggling to turn possession into goals when it matters most.

If you would like to feature on Talk Chelsea click here.



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