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Best NBA Playoff Player Props and Bets 5/16/25

May 16, 2025
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We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player prop bets for tonight.

PLAYER PROPS

1. DERRICK WHITE OVER 20.5 POINTS (-120)

Odds: -120Probability: 53.9%Projection: 24.1Edge: 9.7%Game: Celtics vs Knicks (8PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Celtics vs Knicks matchup, with Derrick White showing value in the total points made prop market.

Our model has narrowed down Derrick White Over 20.5 Points as the best player bet for today. Our model predicts that White will rack up 24.1 PTS in tonight’s game. With the Celtics losing Tatum, White was able to run the show in their last matchup, racking up a total of 34 PTS with 7 3PM. Our model suspects tonight will go similarly with him taking over a lot of the responsibility with Tatum missing, leading to more shots taken and more points scored.

Our model recommends placing a wager on Derrick White Over 20.5 Points at -120 odds and an attractive 9.7% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.

2. PEYTON PRITCHARD OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+120)

Odds: +120Probability: 52.8%Projection: 4.1Edge: 7.9%Game: Celtics vs Knicks (8PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Celtics vs Knicks game, with Peyton Pritchard showing value in the total 3-pointers made prop market.

Throughout the 24/25 postseason Pritchard has been able to average 3.4 3PM made per game, and he’s coming off a 5 3PM game two nights ago. Our Basketball Forever Betting Bot is projecting Pritchard to have 4.1 REB. With Tatum OUT and Porzingis suffering from an illness, Pritchard has been getting more time on the court allowing him to launch balls from the arch. In their last matchup, Pritchard was able to go 5/14, giving our model confidence that he’ll be slinging the ball again tonight.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Peyton Pritchard Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us a 7.9% edge on the +120 odds.

3. MIKAL BRIDGES OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+140)

Odds: +140Probability: 53.4%Projection: 4.1Edge: 11.8%Game: Celtics vs Knicks (8PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Celtics vs Knicks game, with Mikal Bridges showing value in the over assists market.

Our model has found Mikal Bridges Over 3.5 Total Assists as one of the best bets for tonight’s game. Bridges has been able to cover this line in 2/5, falling one assist short in the two most recent matchups. Throughout this series of the playoffs, Bridges has been able to average 4 APG, showing 3/3/3/5/7 assists made in each game. With the series 3-2, the Knicks will have to move the ball giving them the best scoring matchups. With an average of 4 APG and a Projection of 4.1 AST, our model has a high degree of confidence in this particular wager.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Mikal Bridges Over 3.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 11.8% at +140 odds.

BEST BETS

1. KNICKS -2.5 (-115)

Odds: -115Probability: 52.8%Edge: 5.7%Game: Celtics vs Knicks (8PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Celtics vs Knick matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Knicks -2.5 is a solid wager. This series has been a close one with it being 3-2 in the Knicks favor. The Knicks have a chance to move to the next round of the playoffs, leading our model to suspect that they’ll do everything they can to come out on top tonight. Our model suspects that Knicks -2.5 is a solid wager for tonight’s game. With the Knicks losing the last game by a total of 25 points, we can expect them to try and get one back tonight, sending the Celtics home till next season.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Knicks -2.5 through. With -115 odds and a 5.7% edge, this is our best bet of the day.

READ MORE: Russell Westbrook’s Wife Slams Reporter Who ‘Spread So Many Lies’



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