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Baku 2023 once more? Verstappen faces risk from Russell, not Norris, in dash race · RaceFans

October 19, 2024
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The phrase ‘irony’ is among the many most misused and misunderstood within the English language, but Mercedes’ trackside engineering director Andrew Shovlin had a uncommon alternative to use it precisely after the top of dash qualifying in Austin when the workforce had been crushed to pole by Max Verstappen

On the face of it, his driver Lewis Hamilton appeared to have squandered one other nice alternative to set himself up for fulfillment for race when he fell to seventh on the grid on the finish of SQ3 after making his single run within the session early. However that didn’t inform the total story.

Till Hamilton caught a flashing yellow gentle on the LED marshal board on the finish of the again straight (triggered by Franco Colapinto’s flip 12 spin) he was virtually three tenths of a second faster than Verstappen subsequent effort. Hamilton lifted off early to respect the command – simply because it turned inexperienced as soon as extra. Presuming he had stored issues clear within the closing sector, Hamilton would virtually actually have been on pole for as we speak’s dash race.

“We had opted to go on the early aspect to keep away from any interruptions with yellows on a busy monitor on the finish of the session,” Shovlin later defined. “Sadly, and paradoxically, Lewis caught a yellow flag following a spin for the Williams of Colapinto at flip 12. That put paid to his problem for the front-row and he’ll line up P7.”

Norris might solely handle fourth on the grid

Hamilton’s workforce mate George Russell additionally missed out on the highest spot, however he arguably handed pole to Verstappen on the first nook of his closing lap, shedding virtually two tenths to the Pink Bull on the run down the hill in direction of the esses that he needed to combat to make up over the remainder of the lap. Verstappen crossed the road simply 0.012s sooner.

Verstappen duly took his third consecutive dash race pole and third from the 4 dash rounds held up to now. Nonetheless, even he needed to admit that he was prone to face robust competitors within the dash race.

“Wanting on the lap, just a few little stability points nonetheless, however to be forward of the others is a constructive,” he stated. “I believe additionally, while you look, Lewis had a little bit mistake in 12, in any other case he would’ve been up there as properly.

“I’m completely satisfied, however I’m additionally conscious there’s loads of quick vehicles round me. Nevertheless it’s positively a constructive return.”

Verstappen has received all three dash races held up to now in 2024. However this can be essentially the most difficult one to win of all.

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Climate

There are few considerations about climate on Saturday afternoon for the dash race, each for drivers and the followers. Circumstances can be dry with virtually zero threat of rain with temperatures just like Friday, whereas the anticipated cloud cowl will hopefully forestall many followers getting solar burnt earlier than an important day of the weekend tomorrow.

Wind could also be an element with westerly gusts set to offer a cross wind by the esses and a tailwind down the again straight, however wind speeds usually are not set to be as excessive as they had been on Friday.

Begin

(L to R): Max Verstappen, Red Bull; George Russell, Mercedes; Baku City Circuit; 2023
Verstappen angrily confronted Russell after their Baku conflict

Final yr, Charles Leclerc discovered simply how aggressive Verstappen might be off the beginning at COTA when he was squeezed to the within by the world champion because the pair left the grid within the dash race. Ranging from second, Russell ought to anticipate related therapy from the world champion. These two have earlier as properly – Verstappen was angered by their conflict within the Baku dash race final yr.

However how arduous can Verstappen afford to combat Russell? Lando Norris has taken factors off him for the final 4 races in a row, begins shut behind in fourth, and Verstappen can be particularly anxious to not get caught up in an unncessary combat which brings the McLaren into play.

The tight left-hander at flip one on the prime of the hill is commonly a focus of motion. Not simply because it’s the first braking level of the race, naturally, however as a result of drivers had been combating for grip across the newly repaved nook all through Friday. Russell, Pierre Gasly and Alexander Albon all suffered spins there whereas and a number of other others had been caught out by surprising grip ranges. Twenty vehicles, lots of them off the racing line, charging right into a wide-open, low grip nook might lead to extra chaos than standard.

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Technique

As ever, groups have free alternative for what compounds to run within the race. Final yr, all bar one of many 20 drivers picked mediums for the dash race, with solely Carlos Sainz Jnr playing on softs.

Max Verstappen, Red Bull, Circuit of the Americas, 2023
Verstappen led each lap in final yr’s dash race

The Ferrari driver gained two locations on the opening lap together with his softer tyres, however then light because the race progressed to be handed by Norris and Sergio Perez to complete the place he had began in sixth. Pirelli anticipate that mediums are prone to be near-universal of their use as we speak.

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Overtaking

Immediately’s dash race can be a revealing take a look at of how a lot the shortened DRS zone alongside the again straight will have an effect on overtaking. Though flip 12 has typically been the preferred passing level in Austin, there are additionally loads of strikes made into the primary nook, into flip 11 main onto the again straight and even into flip 15, the final nook within the ‘stadium’ part main into the high-speed, triple-apex sequence across the stadium.

Though passing into flip 11 might seem to be unhealthy ways given there’s a lengthy DRS straight instantly after it, the very fact the detection zone comes earlier than the braking zone really encourages drivers to attempt to make a lunge into the left hander. Any driver who can get by at flip 11 will then get the good thing about DRS alongside the straight even when they’re already forward, permitting them to win any drag race down to show 12.

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Security Vehicles

Within the three dash races held up to now in 2024, there was only one Security Automobile interval – a primary nook conflict at Miami which took out Norris and Lance Stroll. Since then, drivers have been very properly behaved with not a single Security Automobile interval in any grand prix for the reason that Canadian Grand Prix again in June.

Liam Lawson, RB, Circuit of the Americas, 2024
Lawson made a strong begin on his first day again

Final yr there was only a single retirement from the dash race at Austin when Stroll pulled out of the race with a handful of laps remaining with a braking downside. If the sector navigates the primary nook and lap with none hassle, it’s overwhelmingly possible the race will run inexperienced to the chequered flag.

One to observe

The plain candidate to look out for in as we speak’s dash race is the returning Liam Lawson. The RB driver has been known as up by Pink Bull to interchange Daniel Ricciardo and can take his first Formulation 1 begin in over a yr as we speak.

Lawson was disillusioned to not observe workforce mate Yuki Tsunoda by to the ultimate section of dash qualifying after shedding his solely timed lap in SQ2 for exceeding monitor limits. Ranging from fifteenth, he will get the privilege of a uncommon warm-up race forward of his first grand prix of the yr tomorrow.

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Over to you

Can Verstappen make it 4 dash wins out of 4, or will Russell or one other of Pink Bull’s rivals show an excessive amount of for the world champion to maintain at bay? Have your say within the feedback beneath.

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Tags: 2024 United States Grand PrixBakuFacesGeorge RussellLando NorrisMax VerstappenNorrisraceRaceFansRussellsprintthreatVerstappen
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