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Pewter Report’s Scott Reynolds solutions your questions from the @PewterReport Twitter account every week within the Bucs Mailbag. Submit your query to the Bucs Mailbag every week through Twitter utilizing the hashtag #PRMailbag. Listed here are the Bucs questions we selected to reply for this week’s version.
QUESTION: Barring any trades, how will the Bucs draft selections shake out by place? May there be a number of draft selections by place?
Bucs head coach Todd Bowles and GM Jason Licht – Picture courtesy of the Buccaneers
ANSWER: It’s slightly troublesome to say proper now, as free company hasn’t even begun but. However let’s think about the best-case situation takes place and the Bucs’ massive free agent 5 – vast receiver Mike Evans, quarterback Baker Mayfield, security Antoine Winfield Jr., linebacker Lavonte David and kicker Chase McLaughlin are all re-signed. And let’s additionally suppose that the Bucs don’t actually do far more in free company than that, as they may need to pay high greenback for Evans and Mayfield.
The Bucs have apparent holes at robust security, as Ryan Neal gained’t be re-signed, and at left guard, as Matt Feiler gained’t be again, both. Aaron Stinnie could also be re-signed for depth on an inexpensive, one-year deal, however the left guard job shall be open competitors.
Tampa Bay can also be anticipated to half methods with veteran outdoors linebacker Shaq Barrett, who turns 32 within the fall and is in decline. With Joe Tryon-Shoyinka not getting his fifth-year possibility picked up, the Bucs might want to restock the skin linebacker place. These three positions – security, guard and out of doors linebacker – are anticipated to be the first wants Tampa Bay will tackle within the draft if not in free company.
Even when Evans re-signs with the Bucs, he’ll be 31 within the fall, and Chris Godwin is getting into a contract 12 months. With Tampa Bay anticipated to launch Russell Gage in a cap-cutting transfer, the workforce will even probably reap the benefits of a really deep vast receiver draft to restock the room and add competitors for Trey Palmer.
The Bucs have seven draft picks this 12 months, together with the anticipated seventh-round compensatory choice. If Tampa Bay goes to double up on a place this 12 months, I’d suspect it could be inside offensive line (guard and middle) and maybe vast receiver – simply due to the sheer depth on the place.
QUESTION: Do you suppose there’s an opportunity that the Bucs may commerce out of the primary spherical? I really feel prefer it might be an actual risk if there’s no robust EDGE or O-line choices on the board at No. 26.
Bucs head coach Todd Bowles and GM Jason Licht – Picture courtesy of the Buccaneers
ANSWER: Sure, if a Bucs’ high goal is not on the board at No. 26 worthy of that choice – or if there are a number of targets nonetheless out there – I may see Tampa Bay commerce down. That’s what occurred in 2022 when the Bucs have been all the way down to Georgia defensive deal with Devonte Wyatt, Georgia security Lewis Cine and Houston defensive deal with Logan Corridor with the No. 27 choose.
The Bucs determined to commerce down from the No. 27 choose to the No. 33 choice as a result of they nonetheless had three gamers they favored on the board and one in every of them would nonetheless be out there with the highest choose within the second spherical. That participant wound up being Corridor.
Tampa Bay might be in the same state of affairs this 12 months with the No. 26 choose. There’s worth in buying and selling down and buying extra draft capital – even when it’s buying and selling down into the second spherical. However there may be additionally worth in drafting a participant within the first spherical due to the fifth-year possibility down the highway.
We’ll see what occurs when the Bucs are on the clock. However the worth on this draft is absolutely on Day 2, and I may see normal supervisor Jason Licht wanting to select up an additional third-round choose if attainable.
QUESTION: In want of a go rusher, may Khalil Mack be an possibility for the Bucs. He could be a short-term bridge possibility whereas the Bucs discover their long-term reply on the place. At age 33, he would possibly solely get a less expensive deal at this level. Ideas?
Khalil Mack and Donovan Smith – Picture by: Cliff Welch/PR
ANSWER: Worth would be the largest consideration for the Bucs in the event that they signal a veteran edge rusher in free company. To start with, Khalil Mack remains to be underneath contract with the Chargers for the 2024 season, though he might be a wage cap casualty in the event that they determine to maneuver on and clear up their cap state of affairs. However in doing so, Los Angeles could be with out one in every of its star gamers.
If Mack did hit free company, I don’t suppose he would come low-cost in any respect – even at age 33. He’s coming off a monster 12 months through which he recorded a career-high 17 sacks and compelled 5 fumbles.
Mack, who had the primary sack in opposition to Bucs offensive deal with Tristan Wirfs, additionally had 74 tackles and 22 QB hits and he made the Professional Bowl. Mack has began all 17 video games in every of the final two years and reveals no indicators of slowing down. After recording eight sacks in his first 12 months in L.A. in 2022, he greater than doubled that whole this previous season.
If the Bucs have been to go along with a veteran edge rusher in free company it could be a less expensive possibility like New England’s Josh Uche, Miami’s Andrew Van Ginkel or maybe Dorance Armstrong if the market is softer than anticipated.
QUESTION: Why wouldn’t the Bucs use the franchise tag on Mike Evans and signal Antoine Winfield Jr. to a long-term deal? Is there something in his contract that he can’t be tagged?
Bucs WR Mike Evans – Picture by: USA Immediately
ANSWER: The rationale why the Bucs shall be utilizing their franchise tag on Antoine Winfield Jr. is just as a consequence of worth. The franchise tag quantity for safeties is simply $17.123 million, whereas the franchise tag quantity for vast receivers is $21.816 million.
However it’s really greater than that for Mike Evans. There’s a rule in place that states that if a workforce makes use of the franchise tag on a participant however the franchise tag quantity is decrease than the cap worth of that participant from the earlier 12 months, the participant is due 120% of that worth.
Evans’ cap worth in 2023 was $23,698,500, which is larger than the franchise tag quantity. So the franchise tag for Evans could be $28,438,200, which is about $7.5 million extra it could be for different vast receivers. And it’s over $11 million greater than Winfield’s franchise tag would price.
Remember the fact that as soon as a participant is franchised, he has to play on that fastened quantity except a long-term contract extension is reached previous to the deadline of July 17. It’s a inflexible quantity that takes up a big quantity of cap area and may’t be restructured downward to avoid wasting cap area.
With Winfield probably resetting the security market with a brand new long-term contract price $20 million per 12 months, the Bucs will really be saving some cash within the quick time period with Winfield underneath contract for simply over $17 million. And with Winfield taking the franchise tag as a substitute of Evans, that’s going to permit the Bucs extra cap flexibility in March.
QUESTION: Do you suppose that the upcoming draft being deep with vast receivers might deter groups from overpaying free agent receivers like Mike Evans once they can simply exit and draft one or two actually good ones for lower than half the value to signal Evans? This might play in Tampa Bay’s favor in retaining him.
Washington WR Rome Odunze – Picture by: USA Immediately
ANSWER: I feel the Bucs are banking on that truth. There will even be some good receivers in free company, comparable to Jacksonville’s Calvin Ridley, Buffalo’s Gabe Davis, and Cincinnati’s Tyler Boyd, who’re youthful and can come cheaper than Evans, too. However sure, this 12 months’s draft class at vast receiver is kind of sturdy.
There might be as many as six or seven vast receivers within the first spherical this 12 months, together with Ohio State’s Marvin Harrison Jr., LSU’s Malik Nabers, Washington’s Rome Odunze, LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. and Oregon’s Troy Franklin. Texas’ Adonai Mitchell, Florida State’s Keon Coleman and Georgia’s Ladd McConkey may additionally sneak into the underside of the primary spherical.
The factor to remember with Evans is that he turns 31 in August. All the massive cash offers he’s chasing from Las Vegas’ Davante Adams ($28 million), L.A.’s Cooper Kupp ($26.7 million) and Philadelphia’s A.J. Brown ($25 million) have been all signed earlier than these gamers performed their age-30 seasons. Evans is a 12 months older than Adams and Kupp have been once they inked these massive extensions, so he’s in a little bit of uncharted waters.
Between his age, the free agent vast receivers out there, and the extraordinarily deep and proficient draft class on the place, the Bucs hope that Evans’ market just isn’t as wealthy as he’s hoping it’s.
